Upcoming Scotland Premiership fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian vs ST MirrenScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | Heart Of MidlothianOur prob 62%Best odds 1.47 | -12% | 53% | 65% | C | 1.47 |
| Rangers vs KilmarnockScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | RangersOur prob 75%Best odds 1.17 | -30% | 52% | 82% | C | 1.17 |
| Dundee Utd vs HibernianScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | Dundee UtdOur prob 38%Best odds 2.73 | +11% | 46% | 35% | C | 2.73 |
| Falkirk vs DundeeScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | FalkirkOur prob 42%Best odds 2.10 | -17% | 29% | 46% | C | 2.10 |
| Motherwell vs CelticScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | CelticOur prob 56%Best odds 1.63 | -11% | 48% | 59% | C | 1.63 |
| Aberdeen vs ST JohnstoneScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | AberdeenOur prob 40%Best odds 2.22 | -12% | 32% | 43% | C | 2.22 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Scotland Premiership table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic |
7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 18 | |
| 2 |  Rangers |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 13 | |
| 4 |  Dundee |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 5 |  ST Mirren |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | |
| 6 |  ST Johnstone |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 7 |  Aberdeen |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 8 | |
| 8 |  Dundee Utd |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | |
| 9 |  Motherwell |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | |
| 10 |  Hibernian |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 | |
| 11 |  Falkirk |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Scotland Premiership trends
How Scotland Premiership matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 42 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (234 played matches).
Top Scotland Premiership teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.48
- Attack
- 1.74
- Defence
- 1.27
- Net rating
- +0.34
- Attack
- 1.42
- Defence
- 1.08
- Net rating
- +0.30
- Attack
- 1.22
- Defence
- 0.92
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Scotland Premiership
From the Scotland Premiership scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. FowlerST Johnstone 4 G 1 A
- B. NygrenCeltic 3 G 3 A
- C. DuránCeltic 3 G 3 A
- K. NisbetAberdeen 3 G 2 A
- K. PhillipsST Mirren 3 G 0 A
- M. BoyleHibernian 3 G 0 A
- K. HøghCeltic 3 G 0 A
- J. WilsonHeart Of Midlothian 3 G 0 A
Recent Scotland Premiership results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic vs RangersOur pick Celtic · 46% | Celtic to win | 46% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Kilmarnock vs Heart Of MidlothianOur pick Heart Of Midlothian · 50% | Heart Of Midlothian to win | 50% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Hibernian vs AberdeenOur pick Hibernian · 51% | Hibernian to win | 51% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| ST Mirren vs Dundee UtdOur pick ST Mirren · 42% | ST Mirren to win | 42% | 0–3 | Missed | |
| Dundee vs MotherwellOur pick Motherwell · 37% | Motherwell to win | 37% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| ST Johnstone vs FalkirkOur pick ST Johnstone · 51% | ST Johnstone to win | 51% | 1–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.