Upcoming Scotland Premiership fixtures
12 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 48 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic vs Dundee UtdScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | CelticOur prob 69%Best odds 1.29 | -5% | 69% | 74% | C | 1.29 |
| ST Mirren vs HibernianScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | HibernianOur prob 42%Best odds 2.12 | -3% | 42% | 46% | C | 2.12 |
| Aberdeen vs FalkirkScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | AberdeenOur prob 46%Best odds 2.11 | 0% | 46% | 46% | C | 2.11 |
| Dundee vs KilmarnockScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | DundeeOur prob 51%Best odds 1.98 | +3% | 51% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| ST Johnstone vs MotherwellScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | ST JohnstoneOur prob 43%Best odds 2.59 | +5% | 43% | 37% | C | 2.59 |
| Heart Of Midlothian vs RangersScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | RangersOur prob 46%Best odds 2.20 | +1% | 46% | 44% | C | 2.20 |
| Kilmarnock vs ST JohnstoneScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | ST JohnstoneOur prob 38%Best odds 2.38 | -1% | 38% | 40% | C | 2.38 |
| Motherwell vs ST MirrenScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | MotherwellOur prob 50%Best odds 1.83 | -2% | 50% | 53% | C | 1.83 |
| Rangers vs AberdeenScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | RangersOur prob 64% | — | 64% | — | C | — |
| Dundee Utd vs Heart Of MidlothianPostponedScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | Dundee UtdOur prob 49%Best odds 3.15 | — | 49% | — | C | 3.15 |
| Falkirk vs CelticScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | CelticOur prob 63%Best odds 1.36 | -7% | 63% | 70% | C | 1.36 |
| Hibernian vs DundeeScotland PremiershipC | Scotland Premiership | DundeeOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Scotland Premiership table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic |
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 6 | +19 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Rangers |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian |
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 19 | |
| 4 |  Dundee Utd |
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | |
| 5 |  Dundee |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | +2 | 14 | |
| 6 |  ST Mirren |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Falkirk |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | |
| 8 |  ST Johnstone |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 | |
| 9 |  Aberdeen |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Motherwell |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 | |
| 11 |  Kilmarnock |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Hibernian |
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Scotland Premiership trends
How Scotland Premiership matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 60 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (234 played matches).
Top Scotland Premiership teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.82
- Attack
- 1.71
- Defence
- 0.90
- Net rating
- +0.54
- Attack
- 1.95
- Defence
- 1.41
- Net rating
- +0.10
- Attack
- 1.39
- Defence
- 1.30
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Scotland Premiership
From the Scotland Premiership scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- C. DuránCeltic 6 G 5 A
- B. NygrenCeltic 6 G 4 A
- J. FowlerST Johnstone 6 G 1 A
- R. NaderiRangers 5 G 2 A
- J. MurrellFalkirk 5 G 0 A
- K. NisbetAberdeen 4 G 3 A
- Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian 4 G 2 A
- C. MillerHeart Of Midlothian 4 G 1 A
Recent Scotland Premiership results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell vs Heart Of MidlothianOur pick Heart Of Midlothian · 42% | Heart Of Midlothian to win | 42% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Hibernian vs CelticOur pick Celtic · 58% | Celtic to win | 58% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| Falkirk vs KilmarnockOur pick Falkirk · 48% | Falkirk to win | 48% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Dundee Utd vs AberdeenOur pick Dundee Utd · 43% | Dundee Utd to win | 43% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Rangers vs ST JohnstoneOur pick Rangers · 70% | Rangers to win | 70% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| ST Mirren vs DundeeOur pick ST Mirren · 37% | ST Mirren to win | 37% | 2–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.