Slovenia · 2026/27 season

1. SNL Football Predictions

Maribor leads the SNL with 20 points after 49 matches in the 2026/27 season, which have averaged 2.63 goals per match. With 49% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 53% seeing both teams score, predictions could change if teams perform differently than expected.

Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 49 of 180 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 5 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 33 so far this season

Upcoming 1. SNL fixtures

5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 55 more scheduled later this season.

1. SNL fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Radomlje vs Koper1. SNLC 1. SNL KoperOur prob 51%Best odds 1.78 -7% 46% 53% C 1.78
Celje vs Aluminij1. SNLC 1. SNL CeljeOur prob 53%Best odds 1.52 -36% 27% 62% C 1.52
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Mura1. SNLC 1. SNL Olimpija LjubljanaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.77 +8% 62% 54% C 1.77
Nafta vs Bravo1. SNLC 1. SNL NaftaOur prob 37%Best odds 2.52 -2% 35% 37% C 2.52
Brinje-Grosuplje vs Maribor1. SNLC 1. SNL MariborOur prob 55%Best odds 1.70 -1% 54% 55% C 1.70

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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1. SNL table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

1. SNL table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Maribor 10 550 198 +11 20
2 Bravo 10 532 1210 +2 18
3 Aluminij 10 442 1710 +7 16
4 Koper 10 433 109 +1 15
5 Olimpija Ljubljana 10 424 108 +2 14
6 Nafta 10 415 1716 +1 13
7 Celje 9 333 1111 0 12
8 Brinje-Grosuplje 10 325 1418 -4 11
9 Mura 10 235 1021 -11 9
10 Radomlje 9 126 918 -9 5

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

1. SNL trends

How 1. SNL matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 49 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 35% 17 of 49 matches -15 pts vs 2025/26 (163)
Away wins 37% 18 of 49 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (163)
Over 2.5 goals 49% 24 of 49 matches -15 pts vs 2025/26 (163)
Both teams scored 53% 26 of 49 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (163)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (163 played matches).

Top 1. SNL teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.32
Attack
1.58
Defence
1.26
Form NextCelje (A) · 10 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent 1. SNL results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent 1. SNL results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Brinje-Grosuplje vs RadomljeOur pick Brinje-Grosuplje · 46% Brinje-Grosuplje to win 46% 2–1 Correct
Mura vs CeljeOur pick Celje · 52% Celje to win 52% 0–0 Missed
Bravo vs Olimpija LjubljanaOur pick Olimpija Ljubljana · 44% Olimpija Ljubljana to win 44% 2–1 Missed
Maribor vs AluminijOur pick Maribor · 60% Maribor to win 60% 2–2 Missed
Koper vs NaftaOur pick Koper · 51% Koper to win 51% 2–0 Correct
Radomlje vs MariborOur pick Maribor · 57% Maribor to win 57% 0–3 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.