Upcoming 1. SNL fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 50 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomlje vs Mura1. SNLC | 1. SNL | MuraOur prob 38%Best odds 2.25 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.25 |
| Koper vs Maribor1. SNLC | 1. SNL | KoperOur prob 36%Best odds 2.65 | 0% | 36% | 36% | C | 2.65 |
| Nafta vs Aluminij1. SNLC | 1. SNL | NaftaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.38 | 0% | 39% | 39% | C | 2.38 |
| Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje1. SNLC | 1. SNL | Olimpija LjubljanaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.53 | +4% | 41% | 37% | C | 2.53 |
| Brinje-Grosuplje vs Bravo1. SNLC | 1. SNL | BravoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.41 | +2% | 42% | 40% | C | 2.41 |
| Maribor vs Olimpija Ljubljana1. SNLC | 1. SNL | MariborOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
| Aluminij vs Radomlje1. SNLC | 1. SNL | AluminijOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — |
| Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje1. SNLC | 1. SNL | MuraOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Celje vs Nafta1. SNLC | 1. SNL | NaftaOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Bravo vs Koper1. SNLC | 1. SNL | KoperOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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1. SNL table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Maribor |
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 24 | |
| 2 |  Koper |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 22 | |
| 3 |  Bravo |
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 19 | |
| 4 |  Olimpija Ljubljana |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 18 | |
| 5 |  Nafta |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 17 | |
| 6 |  Celje |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 16 | |
| 7 |  Aluminij |
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Brinje-Grosuplje |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Mura |
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Radomlje |
11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
1. SNL trends
How 1. SNL matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 59 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (163 played matches).
Top 1. SNL teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.66
- Attack
- 1.67
- Defence
- 1.00
- Net rating
- +0.63
- Attack
- 1.73
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.36
- Attack
- 1.46
- Defence
- 1.10
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent 1. SNL results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maribor vs CeljeOur pick Maribor · 48% | Maribor to win | 48% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Koper vs Brinje-GrosupljeOur pick Koper · 56% | Koper to win | 56% | 5–0 | Correct | |
| Mura vs NaftaOur pick Mura · 39% | Mura to win | 39% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Bravo vs RadomljeOur pick Bravo · 51% | Bravo to win | 51% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Aluminij vs Olimpija LjubljanaOur pick Olimpija Ljubljana · 45% | Olimpija Ljubljana to win | 45% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Brinje-Grosuplje vs MariborOur pick Maribor · 56% | Maribor to win | 56% | 1–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.