Upcoming Copa del Rey fixtures
56 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuarte vs GironaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | GironaOur prob 75% | — | 75% | — | C | — |
| Sestao River vs EspanyolCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | EspanyolOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | B | — |
| Calamocha vs Europa FcCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Europa FcOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Pinatar vs ElcheCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | PinatarOur prob 62% | — | 62% | — | B | — |
| Castellonense vs AlmeriaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | AlmeriaOur prob 68% | — | 68% | — | C | — |
| Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural LeonesaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Cultural LeonesaOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Llanera vs PonferradinaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | PonferradinaOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — |
| RSD Alcalá vs Las PalmasCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Las PalmasOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | C | — |
| Atlético Tordesillas vs MirandesCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | MirandesOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo MajadahondaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Rayo MajadahondaOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
| Manresa vs Sant AndreuCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Sant AndreuOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Don Benito vs Extremadura 1924Copa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Extremadura 1924Our prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Atlético Paso vs CordobaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | CordobaOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Tudelano vs ZaragozaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | ZaragozaOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| Recreativo Huelva vs Rayo VallecanoCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Rayo VallecanoOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | B | — |
| Arosa vs PontevedraCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | PontevedraOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Manacor vs VillarrealCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | VillarrealOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | B | — |
| Alcazar vs MalagaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | AlcazarOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | B | — |
| Poblense vs AD Ceuta FCCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | AD Ceuta FCOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Coruxo vs ZamoraCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | ZamoraOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| Peña Sport vs HuescaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | HuescaOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — |
| Portugalete vs Real UniónCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Real UniónOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — |
| Pamplona vs EibarCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | EibarOur prob 57% | — | 57% | — | C | — |
| Utebo vs SabadellCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | SabadellOur prob 66% | — | 66% | — | C | — |
| Tarancón vs LevanteCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | LevanteOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | B | — |
| Anaitasuna vs AlavesCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | AnaitasunaOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | B | — |
| Numancia vs Real OviedoCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Real OviedoOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| Amorebieta vs UD LogroñésCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | UD LogroñésOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
| Badajoz vs TenerifeCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | TenerifeOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
| Covadonga vs Real ValladolidCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Real ValladolidOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Alcoyano vs MallorcaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | MallorcaOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Trival Valderas vs LeganesCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Trival ValderasOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Calvo Sotelo vs AlbaceteCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Calvo SoteloOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real JaénCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Mijas Las LagunasOur prob 38% | — | 38% | — | C | — |
| Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD OurenseCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | UD OurenseOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Deportiva Minera vs FC CartagenaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | FC CartagenaOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | C | — |
| Cieza vs GranadaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | GranadaOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Reddis vs BarakaldoCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | BarakaldoOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — |
| Navalcarnero vs Real BetisCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Real BetisOur prob 58% | — | 58% | — | B | — |
| Salamanca UDS vs Celta VigoCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Celta VigoOur prob 62% | — | 62% | — | B | — |
| Xerez vs CadizCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | CadizOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| Tavernes vs ValenciaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | ValenciaOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | B | — |
| Atlético Baleares vs EldenseCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | EldenseOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| SS Reyes vs CD CoriaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | CD CoriaOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
| Lebrijana vs GetafeCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | LebrijanaOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | B | — |
| Atletico Calatayud vs OsasunaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | OsasunaOur prob 54% | — | 54% | — | B | — |
| Conquense vs CastellónCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | CastellónOur prob 70% | — | 70% | — | C | — |
| Guijuelo vs Sporting GijonCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Sporting GijonOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Laredo vs BurgosCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | BurgosOur prob 72% | — | 72% | — | C | — |
| Real Ávila vs Unionistas de SalamancaCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | Unionistas de SalamancaOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
| Antequera vs ÁguilasCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | ÁguilasOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
| Varea vs FC AndorraCopa del ReyC | Copa del Rey | FC AndorraOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Prat vs Athletic ClubCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | PratOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | B | — |
| Auriense vs Deportivo La CorunaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Deportivo La CorunaOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | B | — |
| Hortaleza vs SevillaCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | SevillaOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | B | — |
| Ribadesella CF vs Racing SantanderCopa del ReyB | Copa del Rey | Racing SantanderOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | B | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Copa del Rey table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pinatar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | +11 | 6 | |
| 2 | Prat | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 6 | |
| 3 | Anaitasuna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 6 | |
| 4 | Lebrijana | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | |
| 5 |  Atletico Calatayud |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 | |
| 6 | Alcazar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 6 | |
| 7 | Hortaleza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 4 | |
| 8 | Ribadesella CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 | |
| 9 | Auriense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 10 | CD San Jose | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | |
| 11 |  Maracena |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 12 | Tavernes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 13 | Güímar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | |
| 14 | Noja | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 15 | Talayuela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 16 |  Baztán |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | |
| 17 |  Ceuta 6 de Junio |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | |
| 18 | Tedeón | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 0 | |
| 19 | San Rafael | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 | |
| 20 |  Atlético Melilla |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Copa del Rey trends
How Copa del Rey matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 20 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Season-on-season change appears once 30 matches have been played this season (20 so far) — a smaller sample is noise, not a trend.
Top Copa del Rey teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.53
- Attack
- 2.69
- Defence
- 1.16
- Net rating
- +1.29
- Attack
- 2.59
- Defence
- 1.29
- Net rating
- +1.19
- Attack
- 1.97
- Defence
- 0.78
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Copa del Rey
From the Copa del Rey scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
A. GriezmannAtletico Madrid
5 G 1 A
- Raúl GarcíaOsasuna 4 G 1 A
- A. LookmanAtletico Madrid 3 G 2 A
- Carlos VicenteAlaves 3 G 1 A
- Juan Carlos AranaRacing Santander 3 G 0 A
- Jefté BetancorAlbacete 3 G 0 A
- T. OluwaseyiVillarreal 3 G 0 A
-
Mikel OyarzabalReal Sociedad
3 G 0 A
Recent Copa del Rey results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prat vs San Rafael | — | — | 5–0 | no pick | |
| Güímar vs Hortaleza | — | — | 3–3 | no pick | |
| Tavernes vs Maracena | — | — | 0–0 | no pick | |
| Atlético Melilla vs Pinatar | — | — | 0–3 | no pick | |
| Alcazar vs Talayuela | — | — | 1–0 | no pick | |
| CD San Jose vs Auriense | — | — | 1–0 | no pick |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.