Updated

Sweden · 2026/27 season

Superettan Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Superettan fixture — 16 clubs, 223 of 240 matches played, 88 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 223 of 240 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 9 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 88 so far this season

Upcoming Superettan fixtures

9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 8 more scheduled later this season.

Superettan fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Landskrona BoIS vs Varbergs BoIS FCSuperettanC Superettan Landskrona BoISOur prob 47%Best odds 2.02 0% 47% 46% C 2.02
Oddevold vs IK brageSuperettanC Superettan OddevoldOur prob 59%Best odds 1.73 +5% 59% 54% C 1.73
IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FKSuperettanC Superettan IFK NorrkopingOur prob 46%Best odds 2.09 +1% 46% 45% C 2.09
Norrby IF vs IFK VarnamoSuperettanC Superettan IFK VarnamoOur prob 37%Best odds 2.65 +2% 37% 36% C 2.65
United Nordic vs GIF SundsvallSuperettanC Superettan United NordicOur prob 66%Best odds 1.45 +1% 66% 65% C 1.45
Falkenbergs FF vs SandvikenSuperettanC Superettan Falkenbergs FFOur prob 47% — 47% — C —
Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SKSuperettanC Superettan Varbergs BoIS FCOur prob 47% — 47% — C —
Osters IF vs HelsingborgSuperettanC Superettan Osters IFOur prob 55% — 55% — C —
Landskrona BoIS vs Orebro SKSuperettanC Superettan Landskrona BoISOur prob 59% — 59% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Superettan table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Superettan table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 IFK Norrkoping 28 1954 5818 +40 62
2 Falkenbergs FF 28 1567 5238 +14 51
3 Ostersunds FK 28 12124 3826 +12 48
4 Varbergs BoIS FC 27 1377 4534 +11 46
5 Landskrona BoIS 27 1278 4532 +13 43
6 Oddevold 28 1198 4837 +11 42
7 Osters IF 28 13312 4645 +1 42
8 United Nordic 28 1099 4147 -6 39
9 Sandviken 28 10810 4438 +6 38
10 Ljungskile SK 28 8911 3738 -1 33
11 Helsingborg 28 8812 3748 -11 32
12 IFK Varnamo 28 9514 3548 -13 32
13 Orebro SK 28 61111 3142 -11 29
14 Norrby IF 28 51211 3141 -10 27
15 IK brage 28 6814 4555 -10 26
16 GIF Sundsvall 28 6121 1965 -46 19

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Superettan trends

How Superettan matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 223 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 40% 90 of 223 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (244)
Away wins 33% 73 of 223 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (244)
Over 2.5 goals 55% 123 of 223 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (244)
Both teams scored 60% 133 of 223 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (244)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (244 played matches).

Top Superettan teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.66
Attack
1.90
Defence
1.25
Form NextIK brage (H) · 30 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Superettan

From the Superettan scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • R. NelsonIFK Norrkoping 3 G 1 A
  • S. NiouleVarbergs BoIS FC 3 G 0 A
  • L. Farah ShahinOddevold 3 G 0 A
  • T. PricaIFK Norrkoping 3 G 0 A
  • C. NymanIFK Norrkoping 3 G 0 A
  • C. CapotondiLandskrona BoIS 2 G 3 A
  • H. AvianderGIF Sundsvall 2 G 1 A
  • A. EgnellLandskrona BoIS 2 G 0 A

Recent Superettan results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Superettan results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Orebro SK vs Falkenbergs FFOur pick Falkenbergs FF · 41% Falkenbergs FF to win 41% 1–0 Missed
Helsingborg vs Ljungskile SKOur pick Helsingborg · 42% Helsingborg to win 42% 1–1 Missed
Norrby IF vs IFK NorrkopingOur pick IFK Norrkoping · 54% IFK Norrkoping to win 54% 0–4 Correct
IK brage vs Osters IFOur pick IK brage · 41% IK brage to win 41% 4–5 Missed
IFK Varnamo vs SandvikenOur pick IFK Varnamo · 46% IFK Varnamo to win 46% 0–1 Missed
Ostersunds FK vs United NordicOur pick Ostersunds FK · 62% Ostersunds FK to win 62% 4–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.