Upcoming Challenge League fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 40 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC WinterthurChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | FC WinterthurOur prob 48%Best odds 2.05 | +10% | 56% | 46% | C | 2.05 |
| Rapperswil vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-OuchyOur prob 54%Best odds 1.80 | +5% | 57% | 52% | C | 1.80 |
| SC Kriens vs FC WIL 1900Challenge LeagueC | Challenge League | SC KriensOur prob 46%Best odds 2.11 | +8% | 53% | 44% | C | 2.11 |
| Stade Nyonnais vs FC AarauChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | FC AarauOur prob 64%Best odds 1.47 | -1% | 63% | 64% | C | 1.47 |
| Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon SportChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | Yverdon SportOur prob 46%Best odds 2.20 | +11% | 54% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Challenge League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 21 | |
| 2 |  FC Winterthur |
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 | |
| 3 |  Yverdon Sport |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 | |
| 4 |  SC Kriens |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 | |
| 5 |  FC Aarau |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Neuchatel Xamax FC |
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Rapperswil |
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 10 | |
| 8 |  Étoile Carouge |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 9 | |
| 9 |  FC WIL 1900 |
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 9 | |
| 10 |  Stade Nyonnais |
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 2 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Challenge League trends
How Challenge League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 45 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (180 played matches).
Top Challenge League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.37
- Attack
- 2.16
- Defence
- 0.79
- Net rating
- +0.70
- Attack
- 1.95
- Defence
- 1.25
- Net rating
- +0.63
- Attack
- 1.77
- Defence
- 1.14
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Challenge League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyOur pick Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 37% | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win | 37% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| FC Winterthur vs FC AarauOur pick FC Winterthur · 47% | FC Winterthur to win | 47% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC vs RapperswilOur pick Neuchatel Xamax FC · 47% | Neuchatel Xamax FC to win | 47% | 0–3 | Missed | |
| FC WIL 1900 vs Stade NyonnaisOur pick FC WIL 1900 · 62% | FC WIL 1900 to win | 62% | 5–0 | Correct | |
| SC Kriens vs Étoile CarougeOur pick SC Kriens · 39% | SC Kriens to win | 39% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| FC Aarau vs SC KriensOur pick FC Aarau · 54% | FC Aarau to win | 54% | 2–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.