Upcoming Challenge League fixtures
5 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 30 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapperswil vs Stade NyonnaisChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | RapperswilOur prob 64%Best odds 1.55 | +3% | 64% | 60% | C | 1.55 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Yverdon SportChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | Stade Lausanne-OuchyOur prob 46%Best odds 2.18 | +3% | 46% | 43% | C | 2.18 |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC AarauChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | FC AarauOur prob 38%Best odds 2.24 | -3% | 38% | 41% | C | 2.24 |
| Étoile Carouge vs SC KriensChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | Étoile CarougeOur prob 40%Best odds 2.15 | -4% | 40% | 44% | C | 2.15 |
| FC WIL 1900 vs FC WinterthurChallenge LeagueC | Challenge League | FC WinterthurOur prob 47%Best odds 1.95 | -1% | 47% | 48% | C | 1.95 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Challenge League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 3 | +17 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Yverdon Sport |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 22 | |
| 3 |  FC Winterthur |
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +12 | 21 | |
| 4 |  Neuchatel Xamax FC |
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 16 | |
| 5 |  SC Kriens |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 15 | |
| 6 |  FC Aarau |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 | |
| 7 |  Étoile Carouge |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Rapperswil |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 11 | |
| 9 |  FC WIL 1900 |
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 11 | |
| 10 |  Stade Nyonnais |
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Challenge League trends
How Challenge League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 55 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (180 played matches).
Top Challenge League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.36
- Attack
- 1.99
- Defence
- 0.63
- Net rating
- +0.95
- Attack
- 2.07
- Defence
- 1.12
- Net rating
- +0.58
- Attack
- 1.78
- Defence
- 1.20
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Challenge League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yverdon Sport vs SC KriensOur pick Yverdon Sport · 59% | Yverdon Sport to win | 59% | 5–2 | Correct | |
| FC Aarau vs Étoile CarougeOur pick FC Aarau · 56% | FC Aarau to win | 56% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| FC Winterthur vs Stade NyonnaisOur pick FC Winterthur · 76% | FC Winterthur to win | 76% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FCOur pick Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · 63% | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win | 63% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| FC WIL 1900 vs RapperswilOur pick FC WIL 1900 · 47% | FC WIL 1900 to win | 47% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon SportOur pick Yverdon Sport · 50% | Yverdon Sport to win | 50% | 0–2 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.