Updated

Turkey · 2026/27 season

Süper Lig Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Süper Lig fixture — 18 clubs, 81 of 306 matches played, 89 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 18 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 81 of 306 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 9 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 89 so far this season

Upcoming Süper Lig fixtures

9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.

Süper Lig fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Konyaspor vs GalatasaraySüper LigC Süper Lig GalatasarayOur prob 52%Best odds 1.68 -6% 52% 58% C 1.68
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FKSüper LigC Süper Lig Çorum FKOur prob 36%Best odds 2.71 0% 36% 37% C 2.71
Kocaelispor vs RizesporSüper LigC Süper Lig KocaelisporOur prob 40%Best odds 2.67 +3% 40% 37% C 2.67
Fenerbahçe vs GöztepeSüper LigC Süper Lig FenerbahçeOur prob 65%Best odds 1.39 -3% 65% 68% C 1.39
Amed vs EyüpsporSüper LigC Süper Lig AmedOur prob 76%Best odds 1.31 +3% 76% 73% C 1.31
Başakşehir vs SamsunsporSüper LigC Süper Lig BaşakşehirOur prob 55%Best odds 1.88 +4% 55% 51% C 1.88
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FKSüper LigC Süper Lig TrabzonsporOur prob 70%Best odds 1.45 +3% 70% 67% C 1.45
Kasımpaşa vs BeşiktaşSüper LigC Süper Lig BeşiktaşOur prob 49%Best odds 1.80 -5% 49% 54% C 1.80
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs AlanyasporSüper LigC Süper Lig AlanyasporOur prob 39% — 39% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Süper Lig table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Süper Lig table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Galatasaray 9 711 1912 +7 22
2 Amed 9 621 2010 +10 20
3 Trabzonspor 9 612 228 +14 19
4 Beşiktaş 9 603 1810 +8 18
5 Fenerbahçe 9 513 238 +15 16
6 Kasımpaşa 9 441 139 +4 16
7 Kocaelispor 9 504 119 +2 15
8 Erzurumspor FK 9 423 812 -4 14
9 Çorum FK 9 414 1815 +3 13
10 Göztepe 9 333 1916 +3 12
11 Alanyaspor 9 333 911 -2 12
12 Başakşehir 9 324 1214 -2 11
13 Rizespor 9 315 1115 -4 10
14 Konyaspor 9 225 69 -3 8
15 Gaziantep FK 9 225 915 -6 8
16 Gençlerbirliği S.K. 9 225 718 -11 8
17 Samsunspor 9 117 821 -13 4
18 Eyüpspor 9 108 223 -21 3

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Süper Lig trends

How Süper Lig matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 81 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 48% 39 of 81 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (306)
Away wins 35% 28 of 81 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (306)
Over 2.5 goals 58% 47 of 81 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (306)
Both teams scored 46% 37 of 81 matches -9 pts vs 2025/26 (306)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (306 played matches).

Top Süper Lig teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#2
Net rating
+0.69
Attack
1.97
Defence
1.28
Form NextEyüpspor (H) · 1 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Süper Lig

From the Süper Lig scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • Mohamed SalahTrabzonspor 8 G 3 A
  • G. OrbanAmed 8 G 3 A
  • V. MuriqiFenerbahçe 7 G 1 A
  • E. ShomurodovBaşakşehir 7 G 1 A
  • V. OsimhenGalatasaray 6 G 3 A
  • A. BenedyczakKasımpaşa 6 G 2 A
  • JuanGöztepe 6 G 1 A
  • D. VlahovićBeşiktaş 6 G 0 A

Recent Süper Lig results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Süper Lig results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Galatasaray vs FenerbahçeOur pick Galatasaray · 45% Galatasaray to win 45% 2–1 Correct
Rizespor vs TrabzonsporOur pick Trabzonspor · 52% Trabzonspor to win 52% 3–4 Correct
Beşiktaş vs BaşakşehirOur pick Beşiktaş · 66% Beşiktaş to win 66% 2–0 Correct
Göztepe vs Çorum FKOur pick Göztepe · 40% Göztepe to win 40% 2–0 Correct
Konyaspor vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.Our pick Konyaspor · 49% Konyaspor to win 49% 2–0 Correct
Samsunspor vs AmedOur pick Amed · 48% Amed to win 48% 1–2 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.