Upcoming Uruguay Primera División fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Montevideo vs Cerro LargoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Racing MontevideoOur prob 51%Best odds 1.83 | 0% | 51% | 52% | C | 1.83 |
| Cerro vs Central EspanolUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | CerroOur prob 44%Best odds 2.48 | +6% | 44% | 38% | C | 2.48 |
| Penarol vs WanderersUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | PenarolOur prob 64%Best odds 1.47 | +1% | 64% | 63% | C | 1.47 |
| Progreso vs Defensor SportingUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | ProgresoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.68 | +5% | 41% | 36% | C | 2.68 |
| Boston River vs Atletico TorqueUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Atletico TorqueOur prob 45%Best odds 2.15 | -1% | 45% | 46% | C | 2.15 |
| Danubio vs Club NacionalUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Club NacionalOur prob 45% | — | 45% | — | C | — |
| Albion FC vs Deportivo MaldonadoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Deportivo MaldonadoOur prob 42%Best odds 2.25 | 0% | 42% | 42% | C | 2.25 |
| Liverpool Montevideo vs JuventudUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Liverpool MontevideoOur prob 46%Best odds 1.98 | -1% | 46% | 47% | C | 1.98 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Uruguay Primera División table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol |
35 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 56 | 28 | +28 | 68 | |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado |
34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 32 | +22 | 62 | |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque |
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 40 | +17 | 60 | |
| 4 |  Club Nacional |
34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 41 | +10 | 58 | |
| 5 |  Racing Montevideo |
34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 57 | |
| 6 |  Liverpool Montevideo |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45 | 31 | +14 | 56 | |
| 7 |  Wanderers |
35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 50 | |
| 8 |  Albion FC |
34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 44 | +3 | 46 | |
| 9 |  Juventud |
34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 41 | |
| 10 |  Central Espanol |
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 38 | |
| 11 |  Cerro Largo |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 | |
| 12 |  Boston River |
34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 37 | |
| 13 |  Cerro |
34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 37 | |
| 14 |  Defensor Sporting |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 | |
| 15 |  Progreso |
34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 35 | |
| 16 |  Danubio |
34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 32 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Uruguay Primera División trends
How Uruguay Primera División matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 273 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (177 played matches).
Top Uruguay Primera División teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.58
- Attack
- 1.34
- Defence
- 0.76
- Net rating
- +0.57
- Attack
- 1.40
- Defence
- 0.83
- Net rating
- +0.45
- Attack
- 1.41
- Defence
- 0.96
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Uruguay Primera División
From the Uruguay Primera División scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. UrretaviscayaWanderers 1 G 0 A
- S. CoatesClub Nacional 0 G 0 A
- M. GoicoecheaDanubio 0 G 0 A
- E. VelázquezDanubio 0 G 0 A
- G. VieraCerro Largo 0 G 0 A
- I. RossiDanubio 0 G 0 A
- A. MehringProgreso 0 G 0 A
- Juan PerezRacing Montevideo 0 G 0 A
Recent Uruguay Primera División results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional vs Liverpool MontevideoOur pick Club Nacional · 45% | Club Nacional to win | 45% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Cerro Largo vs Boston RiverOur pick Boston River · 37% | Boston River to win | 37% | 2–0 | Missed | |
| Atletico Torque vs CerroOur pick Atletico Torque · 57% | Atletico Torque to win | 57% | 3–1 | Correct | |
| Wanderers vs ProgresoOur pick Wanderers · 41% | Wanderers to win | 41% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs DanubioOur pick Deportivo Maldonado · 50% | Deportivo Maldonado to win | 50% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Defensor Sporting vs Racing MontevideoOur pick Racing Montevideo · 40% | Racing Montevideo to win | 40% | 3–3 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.