Upcoming Uruguay Primera División fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Torque vs DanubioUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Atletico TorqueOur prob 50%Best odds 1.95 | +8% | 56% | 48% | C | 1.95 |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Liverpool MontevideoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Deportivo MaldonadoOur prob 40%Best odds 2.48 | +7% | 45% | 38% | C | 2.48 |
| Defensor Sporting vs CerroUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Defensor SportingOur prob 47%Best odds 1.83 | -13% | 37% | 51% | C | 1.83 |
| Juventud vs Racing MontevideoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | JuventudOur prob 36%Best odds 2.60 | +1% | 37% | 36% | C | 2.60 |
| Penarol vs ProgresoUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | PenarolOur prob 69%Best odds 1.39 | +3% | 71% | 68% | C | 1.39 |
| Wanderers vs Boston RiverUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | WanderersOur prob 45%Best odds 2.25 | +17% | 58% | 41% | C | 2.25 |
| Cerro Largo vs Albion FCUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Cerro LargoOur prob 39%Best odds 2.45 | +6% | 44% | 38% | C | 2.45 |
| Central Espanol vs Club NacionalUruguay Primera DivisiónC | Uruguay Primera División | Club NacionalOur prob 61% | — | 61% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Uruguay Primera División table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penarol |
32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 55 | 26 | +29 | 66 | |
| 2 |  Deportivo Maldonado |
31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 27 | +22 | 58 | |
| 3 |  Atletico Torque |
31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 37 | +15 | 54 | |
| 4 |  Racing Montevideo |
31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 25 | +11 | 53 | |
| 5 |  Club Nacional |
31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 38 | +9 | 52 | |
| 6 |  Wanderers |
32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 50 | |
| 7 |  Liverpool Montevideo |
31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 30 | +12 | 49 | |
| 8 |  Central Espanol |
31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 | |
| 9 |  Albion FC |
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 | |
| 10 |  Juventud |
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 37 | |
| 11 |  Defensor Sporting |
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 35 | |
| 12 |  Cerro Largo |
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 33 | |
| 13 |  Cerro |
31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 33 | |
| 14 |  Boston River |
31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 | |
| 15 |  Danubio |
31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 29 | |
| 16 |  Progreso |
31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 28 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Uruguay Primera División trends
How Uruguay Primera División matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 249 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (177 played matches).
Top Uruguay Primera División teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.91
- Attack
- 1.68
- Defence
- 0.76
- Net rating
- +0.73
- Attack
- 1.43
- Defence
- 0.70
- Net rating
- +0.55
- Attack
- 1.48
- Defence
- 0.92
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Uruguay Primera División
From the Uruguay Primera División scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. UrretaviscayaWanderers 1 G 0 A
- S. CoatesClub Nacional 0 G 0 A
- M. GoicoecheaDanubio 0 G 0 A
- E. VelázquezDanubio 0 G 0 A
- G. VieraCerro Largo 0 G 0 A
- I. RossiDanubio 0 G 0 A
- A. MehringProgreso 0 G 0 A
- Juan PerezRacing Montevideo 0 G 0 A
Recent Uruguay Primera División results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Nacional vs Atletico TorqueOur pick Atletico Torque · 38% | Atletico Torque to win | 38% | 2–0 | Missed | |
| Racing Montevideo vs PenarolOur pick Penarol · 44% | Penarol to win | 44% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Cerro vs WanderersOur pick Wanderers · 36% | Wanderers to win | 36% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Boston River vs JuventudOur pick Juventud · 38% | Juventud to win | 38% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Danubio vs Cerro LargoOur pick Danubio · 41% | Danubio to win | 41% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Central EspanolOur pick Deportivo Maldonado · 60% | Deportivo Maldonado to win | 60% | 3–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.