Upcoming Major League Soccer fixtures
29 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 15 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC vs DC UnitedMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Toronto FCOur prob 52%Best odds 2.00 | +3% | 52% | 49% | C | 2.00 |
| New York City FC vs Atlanta United FCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | New York City FCOur prob 51%Best odds 1.81 | -3% | 51% | 54% | C | 1.81 |
| New England Revolution vs New York Red BullsMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | New England RevolutionOur prob 49%Best odds 2.05 | 0% | 49% | 48% | C | 2.05 |
| Inter Miami vs FC CincinnatiMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Inter MiamiOur prob 63%Best odds 1.53 | -1% | 63% | 64% | C | 1.53 |
| Charlotte vs CF MontrealMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | CharlotteOur prob 64%Best odds 1.52 | +1% | 64% | 63% | C | 1.52 |
| FC Dallas vs Columbus CrewMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | FC DallasOur prob 46%Best odds 2.06 | -1% | 46% | 47% | C | 2.06 |
| Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Chicago FireOur prob 55%Best odds 1.60 | -4% | 55% | 59% | C | 1.60 |
| Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas CityMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Minnesota United FCOur prob 66%Best odds 1.45 | 0% | 66% | 66% | C | 1.45 |
| Nashville SC vs Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Nashville SCOur prob 52%Best odds 1.96 | +3% | 52% | 49% | C | 1.96 |
| Austin vs Real Salt LakeMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Real Salt LakeOur prob 38%Best odds 2.50 | -1% | 38% | 38% | C | 2.50 |
| St. Louis City vs Portland TimbersMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | St. Louis CityOur prob 56%Best odds 1.80 | +3% | 56% | 53% | C | 1.80 |
| Seattle Sounders vs Houston DynamoMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Seattle SoundersOur prob 52%Best odds 1.87 | -1% | 52% | 53% | C | 1.87 |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs Colorado RapidsMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | San Jose EarthquakesOur prob 42%Best odds 2.25 | -2% | 42% | 44% | C | 2.25 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs San DiegoMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Vancouver WhitecapsOur prob 65%Best odds 1.47 | -1% | 65% | 66% | C | 1.47 |
| Charlotte vs Orlando City SCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | CharlotteOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| New York City FC vs CF MontrealMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | New York City FCOur prob 53% | — | 53% | — | C | — |
| Columbus Crew vs DC UnitedMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Columbus CrewOur prob 73% | — | 73% | — | C | — |
| FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia UnionMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Philadelphia UnionOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
| Sporting Kansas City vs FC DallasMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | FC DallasOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
| St. Louis City vs San DiegoMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | St. Louis CityOur prob 68% | — | 68% | — | C | — |
| San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt LakeMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Real Salt LakeOur prob 36% | — | 36% | — | C | — |
| Los Angeles Galaxy vs AustinMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Los Angeles GalaxyOur prob 51% | — | 51% | — | C | — |
| Colorado Rapids vs Chicago FireMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Colorado RapidsOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle SoundersMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Vancouver WhitecapsOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Atlanta United FCOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Nashville SC vs New York Red BullsMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Nashville SCOur prob 72% | — | 72% | — | C | — |
| New England Revolution vs Inter MiamiMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | New England RevolutionOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FCMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Los Angeles FCOur prob 49% | — | 49% | — | C | — |
| Portland Timbers vs Houston DynamoMajor League SoccerC | Major League Soccer | Portland TimbersOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Major League Soccer table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC |
31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 66 | 23 | +43 | 70 | |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps |
31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 32 | +31 | 55 | |
| 3 |  Inter Miami |
31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 53 | +20 | 55 | |
| 4 |  New England Revolution |
31 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 42 | +9 | 55 | |
| 5 |  FC Dallas |
31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 47 | +11 | 54 | |
| 6 |  St. Louis City |
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | +12 | 51 | |
| 7 |  Chicago Fire |
31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 46 | +9 | 51 | |
| 8 |  San Jose Earthquakes |
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 45 | +7 | 48 | |
| 9 |  Houston Dynamo |
31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 48 | |
| 10 |  Los Angeles FC |
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 35 | +15 | 47 | |
| 11 |  Charlotte |
31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 47 | |
| 12 |  Philadelphia Union |
31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 62 | 50 | +12 | 46 | |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders |
31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 41 | 39 | +2 | 43 | |
| 14 |  Colorado Rapids |
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 41 | +1 | 42 | |
| 15 |  FC Cincinnati |
31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 42 | |
| 16 |  Orlando City SC |
31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 42 | |
| 17 |  Los Angeles Galaxy |
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 41 | |
| 18 |  Real Salt Lake |
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 39 | |
| 19 |  New York Red Bulls |
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 39 | |
| 20 |  Columbus Crew |
31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 38 | |
| 21 |  Portland Timbers |
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 37 | |
| 22 |  Toronto FC |
31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 59 | -11 | 36 | |
| 23 |  New York City FC |
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 43 | +2 | 35 | |
| 24 |  San Diego |
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 35 | |
| 25 |  Minnesota United FC |
31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 35 | |
| 26 |  Austin |
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 34 | |
| 27 |  DC United |
31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 33 | |
| 28 |  Atlanta United FC |
31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 30 | |
| 29 |  CF Montreal |
31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 62 | -26 | 25 | |
| 30 |  Sporting Kansas City |
31 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 77 | -40 | 22 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Major League Soccer trends
How Major League Soccer matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 466 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (540 played matches).
Top Major League Soccer teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.28
- Attack
- 2.17
- Defence
- 0.90
- Net rating
- +0.96
- Attack
- 2.40
- Defence
- 1.44
- Net rating
- +0.51
- Attack
- 1.93
- Defence
- 1.43
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Major League Soccer
From the Major League Soccer scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- L. MessiInter Miami 25 G 12 A
-
P. MusaFC Dallas
22 G 5 A
- M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union 19 G 2 A
- Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City 18 G 6 A
-
D. BouangaLos Angeles FC
18 G 5 A
- S. SurridgeNashville SC 18 G 1 A
-
K. DenkeyFC Cincinnati
17 G 3 A
- K. YeboahMinnesota United FC 17 G 3 A
Recent Major League Soccer results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles GalaxyOur pick Los Angeles FC · 58% | Los Angeles FC to win | 58% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| San Diego vs Seattle SoundersOur pick San Diego · 39% | San Diego to win | 39% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Portland Timbers vs CharlotteOur pick Portland Timbers · 44% | Portland Timbers to win | 44% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Colorado Rapids vs Vancouver WhitecapsOur pick Vancouver Whitecaps · 44% | Vancouver Whitecaps to win | 44% | 1–0 | Missed | |
| Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis CityOur pick St. Louis City · 38% | St. Louis City to win | 38% | 3–0 | Missed | |
| Sporting Kansas City vs AustinOur pick Sporting Kansas City · 42% | Sporting Kansas City to win | 42% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.