USA · 2026/27 season

Major League Soccer Football Predictions

Nashville SC leads the Major League Soccer with 60 points this season. The average of 3.22 goals per match and the fact that 63% of matches went over 2.5 goals and saw both teams score could indicate high-scoring games. However, unexpected defensive performances could affect these outcomes.

Teams 30 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 404 of 510 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 16 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 152 so far this season

Upcoming Major League Soccer fixtures

16 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 44 more scheduled later this season.

Major League Soccer fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Vancouver WhitecapsOur prob 43%Best odds 2.32 +1% 44% 43% C 2.32
Toronto FC vs CF MontrealMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Toronto FCOur prob 49%Best odds 1.98 -1% 48% 49% C 1.98
Chicago Fire vs New York City FCMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Chicago FireOur prob 50%Best odds 1.82 -11% 42% 53% C 1.82
Orlando City SC vs Columbus CrewMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Orlando City SCOur prob 46%Best odds 2.07 +3% 48% 46% C 2.07
Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt LakeMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Philadelphia UnionOur prob 69%Best odds 1.47 +14% 80% 66% C 1.47
New York Red Bulls vs San DiegoMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer San DiegoOur prob 38%Best odds 2.49 -3% 36% 39% C 2.49
Atlanta United FC vs FC CincinnatiMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Atlanta United FCOur prob 43%Best odds 2.43 +11% 51% 40% C 2.43
New England Revolution vs Seattle SoundersMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer New England RevolutionOur prob 48%Best odds 1.91 -7% 43% 50% C 1.91
Inter Miami vs DC UnitedMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Inter MiamiOur prob 67%Best odds 1.37 -13% 57% 70% C 1.37
Charlotte vs FC DallasMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer CharlotteOur prob 45%Best odds 2.25 +10% 53% 43% C 2.25
Sporting Kansas City vs Portland TimbersMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Sporting Kansas CityOur prob 40%Best odds 2.41 +2% 42% 39% C 2.41
Minnesota United FC vs Houston DynamoMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Minnesota United FCOur prob 43%Best odds 2.10 -9% 36% 45% C 2.10
Austin vs Nashville SCMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Nashville SCOur prob 49%Best odds 1.87 -7% 44% 51% C 1.87
Colorado Rapids vs San Jose EarthquakesMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Colorado RapidsOur prob 49%Best odds 1.95 +3% 51% 49% C 1.95
Los Angeles FC vs Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer Vancouver WhitecapsOur prob 39%Best odds 2.47 +1% 40% 39% C 2.47
St. Louis City vs Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League SoccerC Major League Soccer St. Louis CityOur prob 60%Best odds 1.65 +8% 66% 58% C 1.65

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Major League Soccer table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Major League Soccer table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Nashville SC 27 1863 5521 +34 60
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 1556 5926 +33 50
3 St. Louis City 27 1386 4836 +12 47
4 FC Dallas 27 1386 5042 +8 47
5 Inter Miami 27 12105 6450 +14 46
6 New England Revolution 27 1449 4536 +9 46
7 San Jose Earthquakes 27 1368 4939 +10 45
8 Houston Dynamo 27 1359 3432 +2 44
9 Charlotte 27 1278 4738 +9 43
10 Chicago Fire 26 1268 4638 +8 42
11 Los Angeles FC 28 1189 4330 +13 41
12 Philadelphia Union 27 11610 5444 +10 39
13 Seattle Sounders 27 1089 3535 0 38
14 Colorado Rapids 27 11313 3838 0 36
15 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9910 3744 -7 36
16 Orlando City SC 27 10413 4864 -16 34
17 New York City FC 27 8910 4136 +5 33
18 FC Cincinnati 26 899 5564 -9 33
19 New York Red Bulls 27 9612 3451 -17 33
20 San Diego 27 8811 4747 0 32
21 Portland Timbers 27 9513 4851 -3 32
22 Real Salt Lake 27 9513 4044 -4 32
23 Austin 27 71010 3547 -12 31
24 DC United 26 6128 3442 -8 30
25 Columbus Crew 27 8514 3943 -4 29
26 Minnesota United FC 27 7812 4049 -9 29
27 Toronto FC 27 61110 3951 -12 29
28 Atlanta United FC 27 7614 3245 -13 27
29 CF Montreal 27 6615 3454 -20 24
30 Sporting Kansas City 27 6318 3265 -33 21

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Major League Soccer trends

How Major League Soccer matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 404 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 46% 186 of 404 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (540)
Away wins 28% 115 of 404 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (540)
Over 2.5 goals 63% 254 of 404 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (540)
Both teams scored 63% 254 of 404 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (540)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (540 played matches).

Top Major League Soccer teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.85
Attack
1.88
Defence
1.03
Form NextAustin (A) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Major League Soccer

From the Major League Soccer scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • L. MessiInter Miami 21 G 11 A
  • P. MusaFC Dallas 18 G 5 A
  • B. WhiteVancouver Whitecaps 17 G 2 A
  • M. IloskiPhiladelphia Union 16 G 2 A
  • S. SurridgeNashville SC 16 G 1 A
  • P. OwusuCF Montreal 15 G 6 A
  • N. Fernández MercauNew York City FC 15 G 4 A
  • Rafael NavarroSt. Louis City 15 G 3 A

Recent Major League Soccer results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Major League Soccer results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas CityOur pick Seattle Sounders · 61% Seattle Sounders to win 61% 2–1 Correct
New York Red Bulls vs St. Louis CityOur pick St. Louis City · 48% St. Louis City to win 48% 0–3 Correct
Columbus Crew vs Inter MiamiOur pick Inter Miami · 41% Inter Miami to win 41% 2–1 Missed
San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland TimbersOur pick San Jose Earthquakes · 44% San Jose Earthquakes to win 44% 3–1 Correct
Vancouver Whitecaps vs DC UnitedOur pick Vancouver Whitecaps · 73% Vancouver Whitecaps to win 73% 3–3 Missed
Los Angeles Galaxy vs Colorado RapidsOur pick Los Angeles Galaxy · 40% Los Angeles Galaxy to win 40% 3–2 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.