Upcoming USL Championship fixtures
12 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 28 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington vs FC TulsaUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | LexingtonOur prob 54%Best odds 1.70 | 0% | 54% | 54% | C | 1.70 |
| Sporting JAX vs Birmingham LegionUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Birmingham LegionOur prob 50%Best odds 2.02 | +10% | 57% | 47% | C | 2.02 |
| Charleston Battery vs Louisville CityUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Charleston BatteryOur prob 51%Best odds 2.13 | +22% | 67% | 46% | C | 2.13 |
| Indy Eleven vs Tampa Bay RowdiesUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Tampa Bay RowdiesOur prob 44%Best odds 2.06 | -4% | 41% | 45% | C | 2.06 |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford AthleticUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Pittsburgh RiverhoundsOur prob 42%Best odds 2.07 | -15% | 31% | 46% | C | 2.07 |
| Miami FC vs Loudoun UnitedUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Miami FCOur prob 47%Best odds 2.08 | +8% | 53% | 45% | C | 2.08 |
| Detroit City vs Rhode IslandUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Detroit CityOur prob 41%Best odds 2.35 | +5% | 44% | 39% | C | 2.35 |
| El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SCUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | El Paso LocomotiveOur prob 63%Best odds 1.56 | +15% | 75% | 60% | C | 1.56 |
| New Mexico United vs Monterey BayUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | New Mexico UnitedOur prob 58%Best odds 1.65 | +6% | 63% | 56% | C | 1.65 |
| Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas LightsUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Phoenix RisingOur prob 47%Best odds 1.85 | -14% | 36% | 50% | C | 1.85 |
| Sacramento Republic vs Colorado SpringsUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Sacramento RepublicOur prob 49%Best odds 1.88 | 0% | 49% | 50% | C | 1.88 |
| Oakland Roots vs San AntonioUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Oakland RootsOur prob 38%Best odds 2.51 | +4% | 41% | 37% | C | 2.51 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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USL Championship table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies |
27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 25 | +21 | 52 | |
| 2 |  Detroit City |
27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 20 | +13 | 47 | |
| 3 |  El Paso Locomotive |
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 35 | +11 | 47 | |
| 4 |  Charleston Battery |
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 31 | +21 | 46 | |
| 5 |  New Mexico United |
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 32 | +9 | 46 | |
| 6 |  Sacramento Republic |
27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37 | 25 | +12 | 44 | |
| 7 |  Lexington |
27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 33 | +16 | 43 | |
| 8 |  FC Tulsa |
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32 | 25 | +7 | 42 | |
| 9 |  Colorado Springs |
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 37 | +3 | 40 | |
| 10 |  Hartford Athletic |
26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29 | 26 | +3 | 39 | |
| 11 |  Orange County SC |
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 39 | |
| 12 |  Rhode Island |
26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 29 | +10 | 38 | |
| 13 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 27 | +1 | 38 | |
| 14 |  San Antonio |
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 38 | |
| 15 |  Louisville City |
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 42 | +1 | 37 | |
| 16 |  Las Vegas Lights |
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 36 | |
| 17 |  Miami FC |
28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 36 | |
| 18 |  Indy Eleven |
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 | |
| 19 |  Oakland Roots |
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 | |
| 20 |  Phoenix Rising |
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 33 | |
| 21 |  Loudoun United |
26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 24 | |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion |
26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 23 | |
| 23 |  Monterey Bay |
27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 21 | |
| 24 |  Brooklyn |
27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 18 | |
| 25 |  Sporting JAX |
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 73 | -41 | 14 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
USL Championship trends
How USL Championship matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 335 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (375 played matches).
Top USL Championship teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.94
- Attack
- 2.17
- Defence
- 1.23
- Net rating
- +0.90
- Attack
- 1.94
- Defence
- 1.04
- Net rating
- +0.51
- Attack
- 1.61
- Defence
- 1.10
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in USL Championship
From the USL Championship scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. LocadiaMiami FC 6 G 0 A
- A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2 G 1 A
- Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0 G 0 A
- Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0 G 0 A
- J. SoñoraMiami FC 0 G 0 A
Recent USL Championship results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United vs Phoenix RisingOur pick New Mexico United · 46% | New Mexico United to win | 46% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| Las Vegas Lights vs San AntonioOur pick Las Vegas Lights · 39% | Las Vegas Lights to win | 39% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Orange County SC vs Monterey BayOur pick Orange County SC · 46% | Orange County SC to win | 46% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Colorado Springs vs Oakland RootsOur pick Colorado Springs · 53% | Colorado Springs to win | 53% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| FC Tulsa vs Sacramento RepublicOur pick Sacramento Republic · 35% | Sacramento Republic to win | 35% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FCOur pick Tampa Bay Rowdies · 66% | Tampa Bay Rowdies to win | 66% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.