Upcoming USL Championship fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville City vs Pittsburgh RiverhoundsUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Louisville CityOur prob 47% | — | 47% | — | C | — |
| Charleston Battery vs Rhode IslandUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Charleston BatteryOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FCUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Tampa Bay RowdiesOur prob 65% | — | 65% | — | C | — |
| Detroit City vs Hartford AthleticUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Detroit CityOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| El Paso Locomotive vs San AntonioUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | El Paso LocomotiveOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Lexington vs Colorado SpringsUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | LexingtonOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| New Mexico United vs Phoenix RisingUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | New Mexico UnitedOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| Sacramento Republic vs FC TulsaUSL ChampionshipC | USL Championship | Sacramento RepublicOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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USL Championship table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies |
30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | +26 | 61 | |
| 2 |  Charleston Battery |
30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 56 | 35 | +21 | 53 | |
| 3 |  New Mexico United |
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 34 | +11 | 52 | |
| 4 |  Sacramento Republic |
30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 42 | 28 | +14 | 51 | |
| 5 |  Detroit City |
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 21 | +13 | 51 | |
| 6 |  El Paso Locomotive |
30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 38 | +10 | 50 | |
| 7 |  Lexington |
30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 39 | +18 | 48 | |
| 8 |  Louisville City |
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 47 | |
| 9 |  Colorado Springs |
30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44 | 38 | +6 | 47 | |
| 10 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds |
30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 30 | +3 | 45 | |
| 11 |  San Antonio |
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 45 | |
| 12 |  FC Tulsa |
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 31 | +3 | 43 | |
| 13 |  Hartford Athletic |
30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 35 | 33 | +2 | 43 | |
| 14 |  Rhode Island |
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 33 | +9 | 42 | |
| 15 |  Phoenix Rising |
30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 40 | |
| 16 |  Orange County SC |
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 39 | |
| 17 |  Oakland Roots |
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 38 | |
| 18 |  Las Vegas Lights |
30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 36 | |
| 19 |  Miami FC |
30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 36 | |
| 20 |  Indy Eleven |
30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 34 | |
| 21 |  Loudoun United |
30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 31 | |
| 22 |  Birmingham Legion |
30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 30 | |
| 23 |  Monterey Bay |
30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 24 | |
| 24 |  Brooklyn |
30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 21 | |
| 25 |  Sporting JAX |
30 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 78 | -46 | 14 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
USL Championship trends
How USL Championship matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 375 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (375 played matches).
Top USL Championship teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.82
- Attack
- 2.26
- Defence
- 1.44
- Net rating
- +0.74
- Attack
- 1.65
- Defence
- 0.91
- Net rating
- +0.51
- Attack
- 1.51
- Defence
- 0.99
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in USL Championship
From the USL Championship scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. LocadiaMiami FC 6 G 0 A
- A. MéndezEl Paso Locomotive 2 G 1 A
- Mattheus OliveiraTampa Bay Rowdies 0 G 0 A
- Pedro SantosLoudoun United 0 G 0 A
- J. SoñoraMiami FC 0 G 0 A
Recent USL Championship results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas LightsOur pick Las Vegas Lights · 38% | Las Vegas Lights to win | 38% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Sacramento Republic vs Oakland RootsOur pick Sacramento Republic · 51% | Sacramento Republic to win | 51% | 3–2 | Correct | |
| Phoenix Rising vs LexingtonOur pick Lexington · 38% | Lexington to win | 38% | 3–3 | Missed | |
| San Antonio vs Orange County SCOur pick San Antonio · 54% | San Antonio to win | 54% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico UnitedOur pick El Paso Locomotive · 52% | El Paso Locomotive to win | 52% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Colorado Springs vs FC TulsaOur pick Colorado Springs · 55% | Colorado Springs to win | 55% | 2–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.