Upcoming Wales Premier League fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town vs TrefelinWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Barry TownOur prob 66% | — | 66% | — | C | — |
| Ammanford AFC vs Haverfordwest County AFCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Haverfordwest County AFCOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — |
| Briton Ferry vs LlandudnoWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Briton FerryOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Airbus UK vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Caernarfon TownOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Colwyn Bay vs Cambrian & ClydachWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Colwyn BayOur prob 74% | — | 74% | — | C | — |
| Flint Town United vs HolywellWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Flint Town UnitedOur prob 63% | — | 63% | — | C | — |
| Cardiff MET vs PenybontWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | PenybontOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| The New Saints vs GAP Connah S Quay FCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | The New SaintsOur prob 67% | — | 67% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Wales Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints |
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 53 | 6 | +47 | 40 | |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC |
14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 34 | |
| 3 |  Penybont |
13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 30 | |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town |
14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 16 | +24 | 29 | |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay |
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 17 | +7 | 26 | |
| 6 |  Barry Town |
14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 26 | +3 | 25 | |
| 7 |  Airbus UK |
14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 20 | +8 | 24 | |
| 8 |  Cardiff MET |
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 22 | |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach |
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Llandudno |
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Haverfordwest County AFC |
14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 | |
| 12 |  Briton Ferry |
14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 12 | |
| 13 |  Flint Town United |
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 11 | |
| 14 |  Ammanford AFC |
14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 41 | -31 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Trefelin |
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 33 | -25 | 6 | |
| 16 |  Holywell |
13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 44 | -30 | 2 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Wales Premier League trends
How Wales Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 111 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (195 played matches).
Top Wales Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +3.04
- Attack
- 3.76
- Defence
- 0.71
- Net rating
- +1.16
- Attack
- 2.47
- Defence
- 1.31
- Net rating
- +1.14
- Attack
- 2.00
- Defence
- 0.86
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Wales Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFCOur pick Barry Town · 48% | Barry Town to win | 48% | 1–3 | Missed | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC vs LlandudnoOur pick GAP Connah S Quay FC · 68% | GAP Connah S Quay FC to win | 68% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Trefelin vs Flint Town UnitedOur pick Flint Town United · 45% | Flint Town United to win | 45% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff METOur pick Colwyn Bay · 57% | Colwyn Bay to win | 57% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Cambrian & Clydach vs Airbus UKOur pick Airbus UK · 50% | Airbus UK to win | 50% | 2–3 | Correct | |
| Caernarfon Town vs Briton FerryOur pick Caernarfon Town · 69% | Caernarfon Town to win | 69% | 3–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.