Upcoming Wales Premier League fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MET vs TrefelinWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Cardiff METOur prob 72%Best odds 1.30 | +9% | 79% | 70% | C | 1.30 |
| Llandudno vs Airbus UKWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | LlandudnoOur prob 41%Best odds 2.10 | -13% | 32% | 44% | C | 2.10 |
| Penybont vs Barry TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | PenybontOur prob 49%Best odds 1.95 | +6% | 54% | 48% | C | 1.95 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC vs Caernarfon TownWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Caernarfon TownOur prob 58%Best odds 1.61 | +3% | 60% | 57% | C | 1.61 |
| Briton Ferry vs GAP Connah S Quay FCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | GAP Connah S Quay FCOur prob 67%Best odds 1.34 | -4% | 64% | 68% | C | 1.34 |
| Cambrian & Clydach vs Ammanford AFCWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Cambrian & ClydachOur prob 68%Best odds 1.32 | -8% | 61% | 70% | C | 1.32 |
| Holywell vs The New SaintsWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | The New SaintsOur prob 93%Best odds 1.03 | +2% | 94% | 92% | C | 1.03 |
| Flint Town United vs Colwyn BayWales Premier LeagueC | Wales Premier League | Colwyn BayOur prob 54%Best odds 1.80 | +2% | 56% | 54% | C | 1.80 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Wales Premier League table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints |
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 5 | +33 | 34 | |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC |
12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 8 | +20 | 28 | |
| 3 |  Penybont |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 27 | |
| 4 |  Barry Town |
12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 20 | +7 | 25 | |
| 5 |  Caernarfon Town |
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | +21 | 23 | |
| 6 |  Colwyn Bay |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 22 | |
| 7 |  Cardiff MET |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 13 | +10 | 21 | |
| 8 |  Airbus UK |
12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 17 | +4 | 18 | |
| 9 |  Cambrian & Clydach |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Llandudno |
12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 16 | |
| 11 |  Briton Ferry |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 12 | |
| 12 |  Haverfordwest County AFC |
12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Flint Town United |
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 8 | |
| 14 |  Ammanford AFC |
12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 6 | |
| 15 |  Trefelin |
12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 30 | -25 | 3 | |
| 16 |  Holywell |
12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 38 | -25 | 2 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Wales Premier League trends
How Wales Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 96 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (195 played matches).
Top Wales Premier League teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +2.14
- Attack
- 2.89
- Defence
- 0.75
- Net rating
- +1.07
- Attack
- 1.95
- Defence
- 0.88
- Net rating
- +1.01
- Attack
- 2.43
- Defence
- 1.42
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Wales Premier League results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The New Saints vs Cambrian & ClydachOur pick The New Saints · 85% | The New Saints to win | 85% | 9–0 | Correct | |
| Caernarfon Town vs Barry TownOur pick Caernarfon Town · 63% | Caernarfon Town to win | 63% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC vs PenybontOur pick GAP Connah S Quay FC · 47% | GAP Connah S Quay FC to win | 47% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Llandudno vs Cardiff METOur pick Llandudno · 41% | Llandudno to win | 41% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Ammanford AFC vs HolywellOur pick Holywell · 42% | Holywell to win | 42% | 2–1 | Missed | |
| Haverfordwest County AFC vs Flint Town UnitedOur pick Haverfordwest County AFC · 48% | Haverfordwest County AFC to win | 48% | 0–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.