World · 2026/27 season

CONMEBOL Libertadores Football Predictions

Flamengo leads the CONMEBOL Libertadores with 21 points after 149 matches in the 2026/27 season. The average goals per match is 2.14, with 34% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 44% seeing both teams score. A lower scoring match or a strong defensive performance could make predictions based on these trends less accurate.

Teams 47 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 149 of 154 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 2 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 11 so far this season

Upcoming CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures

2 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 2 more scheduled later this season.

CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Fluminense vs PalmeirasCONMEBOL LibertadoresC CONMEBOL Libertadores FluminenseOur prob 35%Best odds 2.76 +1% 36% 35% C 2.76
Estudiantes L.P. vs FlamengoCONMEBOL LibertadoresC CONMEBOL Libertadores FlamengoOur prob 35% — 35% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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CONMEBOL Libertadores table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

CONMEBOL Libertadores table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo 9 630 175 +12 21
2 Palmeiras 10 631 168 +8 21
3 Independiente del Valle 10 622 1610 +6 20
4 Independ. Rivadavia 8 530 167 +9 18
5 Estudiantes L.P. 10 451 127 +5 17
6 Corinthians 10 442 106 +4 16
7 Fluminense 10 442 129 +3 16
8 Independiente Medellin 9 432 1111 0 15
9 Rosario Central 8 422 92 +7 14
10 Mirassol 8 422 85 +3 14
11 Cerro Porteno 8 422 74 +3 14
12 LDU de Quito 10 424 1110 +1 14
13 U. Catolica 8 422 98 +1 14
14 Deportes Tolima 12 426 1112 -1 14
15 Cruzeiro 8 332 106 +4 12
16 Coquimbo Unido 8 332 97 +2 12
17 Platense 10 334 1012 -2 12
18 Sporting Cristal 10 325 1013 -3 11
19 Barcelona SC 10 316 514 -9 10
20 Carabobo FC 4 301 53 +2 9
21 UCV 6 303 711 -4 9
22 Lanus 6 303 37 -4 9
23 Juventud 6 222 88 0 8
24 Santa Fe 6 222 67 -1 8
25 Club Nacional 6 222 79 -2 8
26 Boca Juniors 6 213 65 +1 7
27 2 de Mayo 4 130 43 +1 6
28 Deportivo Tachira FC 4 202 33 0 6
29 Universitario 6 132 56 -1 6
30 O'Higgins 4 202 34 -1 6
31 Bolívar 6 123 68 -2 5
32 Botafogo 4 112 33 0 4
33 Junior 6 114 511 -6 4
34 Universidad Catolica 2 101 44 0 3
35 The Strongest 2 101 22 0 3
36 Bahia 2 101 22 0 3
37 Argentinos JRS 2 101 11 0 3
38 Nacional Potosí 2 101 12 -1 3
39 Always Ready 6 105 79 -2 3
40 Penarol 6 033 48 -4 3
41 Deportivo La Guaira 6 033 613 -7 3
42 Alianza Lima 2 011 12 -1 1
43 Liverpool Montevideo 2 011 12 -1 1
44 Club Guarani 2 011 12 -1 1
45 Cusco 6 015 412 -8 1
46 Huachipato 2 002 13 -2 0
47 Libertad Asuncion 6 006 413 -9 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

CONMEBOL Libertadores trends

How CONMEBOL Libertadores matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 149 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 46% 69 of 149 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (154)
Away wins 28% 41 of 149 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (154)
Over 2.5 goals 34% 50 of 149 matches -9 pts vs 2025/26 (154)
Both teams scored 44% 65 of 149 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (154)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (154 played matches).

Top CONMEBOL Libertadores teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.45
Attack
2.34
Defence
0.89
Form
Net rating
+1.20
Attack
2.44
Defence
1.24
Form
Net rating
+0.95
Attack
1.75
Defence
0.80
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in CONMEBOL Libertadores

From the CONMEBOL Libertadores scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • A. ArceIndepend. Rivadavia 9 G 0 A
  • C. GonzálezIndependiente del Valle 7 G 0 A
  • Bruno HenriqueFlamengo 5 G 2 A
  • Matheus PereiraCruzeiro 4 G 1 A
  • G. de ArrascaetaFlamengo 4 G 1 A
  • F. FydriszewskiIndependiente Medellin 4 G 1 A
  • L. MelgarejoLibertad Asuncion 4 G 0 A
  • F. ZampedriU. Catolica 4 G 0 A

Recent CONMEBOL Libertadores results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent CONMEBOL Libertadores results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Flamengo vs Independiente del ValleOur pick Flamengo · 71% Flamengo to win 71% 1–1 Missed
Corinthians vs Estudiantes L.P.Our pick Corinthians · 44% Corinthians to win 44% 0–1 Missed
Palmeiras vs LDU de QuitoOur pick Palmeiras · 42% Palmeiras to win 42% 3–2 Correct
Fluminense vs PlatenseOur pick Fluminense · 40% Fluminense to win 40% 2–1 Correct
Independiente del Valle vs FlamengoOur pick Independiente del Valle · 35% Independiente del Valle to win 35% 0–2 Missed
Estudiantes L.P. vs CorinthiansOur pick Estudiantes L.P. · 46% Estudiantes L.P. to win 46% 1–1 Missed

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.