Updated

World · 2023/24 season

Euro Championship - Qualification Football Predictions

In the Euro Championship Qualification, Portugal currently has 30 points. With an average of 2.89 goals per match this season, 54% of matches have gone over 2.5 goals, and 41% have seen both teams score. However, unexpected performances or defensive strategies could lead to different outcomes.

Teams 53 in the 2023/24 season
Matches played 239 of 239 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 0 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 0 so far this season

Euro Championship - Qualification fixtures

No Euro Championship - Qualification fixtures are currently inside our publication window. So far this season 239 of 239 matches have been played across 53 clubs.

Euro Championship - Qualification table

2023/24 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Euro Championship - Qualification table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Portugal 10 1000 362 +34 30
2 France 8 710 293 +26 22
3 Slovenia 10 712 209 +11 22
4 Romania 10 640 165 +11 22
5 Denmark 10 712 1910 +9 22
6 Slovakia 10 712 178 +9 22
7 Spain 8 701 255 +20 21
8 England 8 620 224 +18 20
9 Belgium 8 620 224 +18 20
10 Ukraine 10 622 1510 +5 20
11 Austria 8 611 177 +10 19
12 Netherlands 8 602 177 +10 18
13 Hungary 8 530 167 +9 18
14 Finland 11 605 1914 +5 18
15 Kazakhstan 11 605 1617 -1 18
16 Switzerland 10 451 2211 +11 17
17 Greece 10 523 198 +11 17
18 Scotland 8 521 178 +9 17
19 Türkiye 8 521 147 +7 17
20 Luxembourg 11 524 1321 -8 17
21 Croatia 8 512 134 +9 16
22 Wales 10 442 1411 +3 16
23 Albania 8 431 124 +8 15
24 Czechia 8 431 126 +6 15
25 Poland 10 433 1511 +4 15
26 Israel 11 434 1215 -3 15
27 Italy 8 422 169 +7 14
28 Serbia 8 422 159 +6 14
29 Iceland 12 417 2219 +3 13
30 Georgia 10 334 1418 -4 12
31 Belarus 10 334 914 -5 12
32 Norway 8 323 1412 +2 11
33 Kosovo 10 253 1010 0 11
34 Montenegro 8 323 911 -2 11
35 Sweden 8 314 1412 +2 10
36 Moldova 8 242 710 -3 10
37 Northern Ireland 10 307 913 -4 9
38 Bosnia & Herzegovina 11 308 1022 -12 9
39 Armenia 8 224 911 -2 8
40 FYR Macedonia 8 224 1020 -10 8
41 Azerbaijan 8 215 717 -10 7
42 Rep. Of Ireland 8 206 910 -1 6
43 Lithuania 8 134 814 -6 6
44 Bulgaria 8 044 714 -7 4
45 Latvia 8 107 519 -14 3
46 Faroe Islands 8 026 213 -11 2
47 Andorra 10 028 320 -17 2
48 Estonia 9 018 327 -24 1
49 Malta 8 008 220 -18 0
50 Cyprus 8 008 328 -25 0
51 Liechtenstein 10 0010 128 -27 0
52 San Marino 10 0010 331 -28 0
53 Gibraltar 8 008 041 -41 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Euro Championship - Qualification trends

How Euro Championship - Qualification matches actually ended in the 2023/24: 239 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 46% 111 of 239 matches
Away wins 35% 83 of 239 matches
Over 2.5 goals 54% 128 of 239 matches
Both teams scored 41% 99 of 239 matches

No season-on-season change shown: the previous season’s results are not in our database.

Top Euro Championship - Qualification teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+1.51
Attack
2.68
Defence
1.17
Form
#2
Net rating
+1.30
Attack
2.16
Defence
0.86
Form
Net rating
+1.15
Attack
1.97
Defence
0.82
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Euro Championship - Qualification

From the Euro Championship - Qualification scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • R. LukakuBelgium 14 G 1 A
  • Cristiano RonaldoPortugal 10 G 2 A
  • Kylian MbappéFrance 9 G 5 A
  • H. KaneEngland 8 G 2 A
  • S. McTominayScotland 7 G 1 A
  • R. HøjlundDenmark 7 G 1 A
  • Bruno FernandesPortugal 6 G 7 A
  • E. HaalandNorway 6 G 1 A

Recent Euro Championship - Qualification results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Euro Championship - Qualification results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Wales vs Poland — — 0–0 no pick
Ukraine vs Iceland — — 2–1 no pick
Georgia vs Greece — — 0–0 no pick
Wales vs Finland — — 4–1 no pick
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Ukraine — — 1–2 no pick
Israel vs Iceland — — 1–4 no pick

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.