Updated

World · 2026/27 season

UEFA Nations League Football Predictions

Switzerland currently leads the UEFA Nations League with 12 points after 104 matches played in the 2026/27 season. The average goals per match is 2.46, with 50% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 46% seeing both teams score. Predictions could be affected if teams underperform or if unexpected events occur during matches.

Teams 54 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 104 of 156 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 52 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 104 so far this season

Upcoming UEFA Nations League fixtures

52 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.

UEFA Nations League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Türkiye vs BelgiumUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Armenia vs CyprusUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
England vs CroatiaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Italy vs FranceUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Czechia vs SpainUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Albania vs FinlandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Montenegro vs LatviaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
San Marino vs BelarusUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Moldova vs KazakhstanUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Slovenia vs SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Scotland vs FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Serbia vs GermanyUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Slovakia vs Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Luxembourg vs EstoniaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Bulgaria vs IcelandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Liechtenstein vs AzerbaijanUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Andorra vs GibraltarUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Netherlands vs GreeceUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Kosovo vs IsraelUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Norway vs WalesUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Georgia vs HungaryUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Sweden vs Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Portugal vs DenmarkUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Northern Ireland vs UkraineUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Romania vs PolandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Austria vs Rep. Of IrelandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Latvia vs ArmeniaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Cyprus vs MontenegroUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Finland vs San MarinoUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Belarus vs AlbaniaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Belgium vs ItalyUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
France vs TürkiyeUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Croatia vs CzechiaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Spain vs EnglandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Kazakhstan vs SlovakiaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Faroe Islands vs MoldovaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Iceland vs LuxembourgUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Lithuania vs LiechtensteinUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Estonia vs BulgariaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Switzerland vs ScotlandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
FYR Macedonia vs SloveniaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Germany vs NetherlandsUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Gibraltar vs MaltaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Greece vs SerbiaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Denmark vs NorwayUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Poland vs SwedenUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Wales vs PortugalUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Hungary vs Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Ukraine vs GeorgiaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Rep. Of Ireland vs KosovoUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs RomaniaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —
Israel vs AustriaUEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — — — — —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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UEFA Nations League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

UEFA Nations League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Switzerland 4 400 111 +10 12
2 Spain 4 400 125 +7 12
3 Portugal 4 400 94 +5 12
4 Slovakia 4 310 92 +7 10
5 France 4 310 72 +5 10
6 Sweden 4 310 73 +4 10
7 Montenegro 4 310 74 +3 10
8 England 4 301 143 +11 9
9 Albania 4 301 83 +5 9
10 Iceland 4 220 71 +6 8
11 Austria 4 220 95 +4 8
12 Northern Ireland 4 220 40 +4 8
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 220 63 +3 8
14 Netherlands 4 220 75 +2 8
15 Greece 4 220 53 +2 8
16 Finland 4 211 92 +7 7
17 Italy 4 211 85 +3 7
18 Belarus 4 211 52 +3 7
19 Cyprus 4 211 53 +2 7
20 Slovenia 4 211 53 +2 7
21 Malta 3 210 42 +2 7
22 Hungary 4 211 32 +1 7
23 Belgium 4 202 65 +1 6
24 Estonia 4 130 21 +1 6
25 Denmark 4 202 77 0 6
26 Rep. Of Ireland 4 121 64 +2 5
27 Germany 4 121 32 +1 5
28 Azerbaijan 3 120 21 +1 5
29 Kosovo 4 121 34 -1 5
30 Poland 4 112 74 +3 4
31 Lithuania 3 111 32 +1 4
32 Faroe Islands 4 040 55 0 4
33 Armenia 4 112 45 -1 4
34 Scotland 4 112 35 -2 4
35 Bulgaria 4 112 35 -2 4
36 Ukraine 4 112 25 -3 4
37 Moldova 4 112 38 -5 4
38 Norway 4 103 68 -2 3
39 Wales 4 103 25 -3 3
40 Luxembourg 4 103 27 -5 3
41 Croatia 4 103 414 -10 3
42 Gibraltar 2 020 11 0 2
43 Kazakhstan 4 022 57 -2 2
44 Georgia 4 022 02 -2 2
45 Israel 4 022 27 -5 2
46 Andorra 3 012 13 -2 1
47 Liechtenstein 2 011 02 -2 1
48 Latvia 4 013 26 -4 1
49 Serbia 4 004 38 -5 0
50 Czechia 4 004 210 -8 0
51 Türkiye 4 004 211 -9 0
52 Romania 4 004 313 -10 0
53 FYR Macedonia 4 004 010 -10 0
54 San Marino 4 004 116 -15 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

UEFA Nations League trends

How UEFA Nations League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 104 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 38% 39 of 104 matches
Away wins 36% 37 of 104 matches
Over 2.5 goals 50% 52 of 104 matches
Both teams scored 46% 48 of 104 matches

No season-on-season change shown: the previous season’s results are not in our database.

Top UEFA Nations League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+1.51
Attack
2.62
Defence
1.11
Form NextCroatia (H) · 12 Nov
#2
Net rating
+1.30
Attack
2.11
Defence
0.80
Form NextCzechia (A) · 12 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in UEFA Nations League

From the UEFA Nations League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • H. KaneEngland 6 G 1 A
  • M. OliseFrance 4 G 2 A
  • L. WaltaFinland 4 G 1 A
  • Lamine YamalSpain 4 G 1 A
  • T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4 G 0 A
  • V. GyökeresSweden 4 G 0 A
  • O. ÓskarssonIceland 3 G 2 A
  • João FélixPortugal 3 G 1 A

Recent UEFA Nations League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent UEFA Nations League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Moldova vs SlovakiaOur pick Slovakia · 69% Slovakia to win 69% 0–4 Correct
Scotland vs SloveniaOur pick Scotland · 47% Scotland to win 47% 1–2 Missed
Luxembourg vs BulgariaOur pick Luxembourg · 40% Luxembourg to win 40% 0–2 Missed
Estonia vs IcelandOur pick Iceland · 64% Iceland to win 64% 0–0 Missed
Belarus vs FinlandOur pick Finland · 49% Finland to win 49% 1–0 Missed
Albania vs San MarinoOur pick Albania · 93% Albania to win 93% 2–1 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.