World · 2026/27 season

UEFA Nations League Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every UEFA Nations League fixture — 54 clubs, 104 of 156 matches played, 104 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 54 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 104 of 156 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 0 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 104 so far this season
Model accuracy 59% last 30 days · 104 settled 1X2 picks

UEFA Nations League fixtures

No UEFA Nations League fixtures are currently inside our publication window. So far this season 104 of 156 matches have been played across 54 clubs. 52 fixtures are scheduled later this season; prediction pages appear as they approach.

UEFA Nations League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

UEFA Nations League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Switzerland 4 400 111 +10 12
2 Spain 4 400 125 +7 12
3 Portugal 4 400 94 +5 12
4 Slovakia 4 310 92 +7 10
5 France 4 310 72 +5 10
6 Sweden 4 310 73 +4 10
7 Montenegro 4 310 74 +3 10
8 England 4 301 143 +11 9
9 Albania 4 301 83 +5 9
10 Iceland 4 220 71 +6 8
11 Austria 4 220 95 +4 8
12 Northern Ireland 4 220 40 +4 8
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 220 63 +3 8
14 Netherlands 4 220 75 +2 8
15 Greece 4 220 53 +2 8
16 Finland 4 211 92 +7 7
17 Italy 4 211 85 +3 7
18 Belarus 4 211 52 +3 7
19 Cyprus 4 211 53 +2 7
20 Slovenia 4 211 53 +2 7
21 Malta 3 210 42 +2 7
22 Hungary 4 211 32 +1 7
23 Belgium 4 202 65 +1 6
24 Estonia 4 130 21 +1 6
25 Denmark 4 202 77 0 6
26 Rep. Of Ireland 4 121 64 +2 5
27 Germany 4 121 32 +1 5
28 Azerbaijan 3 120 21 +1 5
29 Kosovo 4 121 34 -1 5
30 Poland 4 112 74 +3 4
31 Lithuania 3 111 32 +1 4
32 Faroe Islands 4 040 55 0 4
33 Armenia 4 112 45 -1 4
34 Scotland 4 112 35 -2 4
35 Bulgaria 4 112 35 -2 4
36 Ukraine 4 112 25 -3 4
37 Moldova 4 112 38 -5 4
38 Norway 4 103 68 -2 3
39 Wales 4 103 25 -3 3
40 Luxembourg 4 103 27 -5 3
41 Croatia 4 103 414 -10 3
42 Gibraltar 2 020 11 0 2
43 Kazakhstan 4 022 57 -2 2
44 Georgia 4 022 02 -2 2
45 Israel 4 022 27 -5 2
46 Andorra 3 012 13 -2 1
47 Liechtenstein 2 011 02 -2 1
48 Latvia 4 013 26 -4 1
49 Serbia 4 004 38 -5 0
50 Czechia 4 004 210 -8 0
51 Türkiye 4 004 211 -9 0
52 Romania 4 004 313 -10 0
53 FYR Macedonia 4 004 010 -10 0
54 San Marino 4 004 116 -15 0

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

UEFA Nations League trends

How UEFA Nations League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 104 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 38% 39 of 104 matches
Away wins 36% 37 of 104 matches
Over 2.5 goals 50% 52 of 104 matches
Both teams scored 46% 48 of 104 matches

No season-on-season change shown: the previous season’s results are not in our database.

Top UEFA Nations League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+1.51
Attack
2.62
Defence
1.11
Form NextCroatia (H) · 12 Nov
#2
Net rating
+1.30
Attack
2.11
Defence
0.80
Form NextCzechia (A) · 12 Nov
Net rating
+1.15
Attack
1.91
Defence
0.76
Form NextSlovenia (A) · 13 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in UEFA Nations League

From the UEFA Nations League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • M. OliseFrance 4 G 2 A
  • Lamine YamalSpain 4 G 1 A
  • L. WaltaFinland 4 G 1 A
  • H. KaneEngland 4 G 1 A
  • T. ParrottRep. Of Ireland 4 G 0 A
  • V. GyökeresSweden 4 G 0 A
  • O. ÓskarssonIceland 3 G 2 A
  • A. GordonEngland 3 G 1 A

Recent UEFA Nations League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent UEFA Nations League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Croatia vs SpainOur pick Spain · 76% Spain to win 76% 1–2 Correct
England vs CzechiaOur pick England · 84% England to win 84% 3–0 Correct
Switzerland vs FYR MacedoniaOur pick Switzerland · 87% Switzerland to win 87% 3–0 Correct
Albania vs San MarinoOur pick Albania · 93% Albania to win 93% 2–1 Correct
Belarus vs FinlandOur pick Finland · 49% Finland to win 49% 1–0 Missed
Estonia vs IcelandOur pick Iceland · 64% Iceland to win 64% 0–0 Missed

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.