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Europe · 2026/27 season

Belgium football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Belgium — 3 competitions, 33 clubs, 93 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in Belgium
Teams 33 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 105 of 516 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Belgium

3 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Belgium with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Dender vs Club Brugge IIChallenger Pro LeagueC Challenger Pro League DenderOur prob 60%Best odds 1.50 -12% 51% 63% C 1.50
RSC Anderlecht II vs AS EupenChallenger Pro LeagueC Challenger Pro League AS EupenOur prob 54%Best odds 1.88 +13% 64% 51% C 1.88
SK Beveren vs Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro LeagueC Jupiler Pro League SK BeverenOur prob 50%Best odds 1.82 -5% 47% 52% C 1.82

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Belgium — country trends

How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across Belgium’s covered competitions: 323 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 49% 159 of 323 matches +6 pts vs latest season of each competition (889)
Away wins 36% 116 of 323 matches +1 pts vs latest season of each competition (889)
Over 2.5 goals 67% 215 of 323 matches +9 pts vs latest season of each competition (889)
Both teams scored 54% 175 of 323 matches -1 pts vs latest season of each competition (889)

Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (889 played matches).

Competitions in Belgium

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Belgium by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Jupiler Pro League
#3
Net rating
+0.70
Attack
1.72
Defence
1.02
Form NextStandard Liege (A) · 11 Oct
Challenger Pro League
#4
Net rating
+0.64
Attack
1.93
Defence
1.29
Form NextLiège (H) · 10 Oct
Jupiler Pro League
#6
Net rating
+0.55
Attack
1.47
Defence
0.91
Form NextZulte Waregem (A) · 10 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Belgium

What happened next to what we predicted

Jupiler Pro League
  • Kortrijk vs SK Beveren1–0
  • Club Brugge KV vs Genk3–0
  • St. Truiden vs KVC Westerlo0–2
  • Antwerp vs Union St. Gilloise0–2
Challenger Pro League
  • Dender vs Patro Eisden1–0
  • Lokeren-Temse vs Excelsior Virton1–1