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North America · 2026/27 season

Canada football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Canada — 1 competition, 8 clubs, 38 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Canada
Teams 8 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 98 of 112 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 14 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Canada

2 fixtures on 7 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Canada with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
York United vs Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier LeagueC Canadian Premier League Supra du QuebecOur prob 39%Best odds 2.25 -12% 30% 42% C 2.25
Forge vs Pacific FCCanadian Premier LeagueC Canadian Premier League ForgeOur prob 73%Best odds 1.36 -6% 69% 75% C 1.36

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Canada — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Canada’s covered competitions: 98 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 46% 45 of 98 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (117)
Away wins 30% 29 of 98 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (117)
Over 2.5 goals 56% 55 of 98 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (117)
Both teams scored 63% 62 of 98 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (117)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (117 played matches).

Competitions in Canada

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Canada by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#2
Net rating
+0.35
Attack
1.61
Defence
1.26
Form NextPacific FC (H) · 7 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Canada

What happened next to what we predicted

Canadian Premier League