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Asia · 2026/27 season

China football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in China — 1 competition, 16 clubs, 59 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in China
Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 232 of 240 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 8 in our publication window

Next fixtures in China

8 fixtures on 8 November 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in China with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tongliang LongChina Super LeagueC China Super League Beijing GuoanOur prob 67% — 67% — C —
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Youth IslandChina Super LeagueC China Super League Shanghai ShenhuaOur prob 61% — 61% — C —
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shenyang UrbanChina Super LeagueC China Super League SHANGHAI SIPGOur prob 72% — 72% — C —
Shandong Luneng vs Chengdu Better CityChina Super LeagueC China Super League Shandong LunengOur prob 68% — 68% — C —
Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan JianyeChina Super LeagueC China Super League Hangzhou GreentownOur prob 57% — 57% — C —
Qingdao Jonoon vs Sichuan JiuniuChina Super LeagueC China Super League Sichuan JiuniuOur prob 57% — 57% — C —
Dalian Zhixing vs Tianjin TedaChina Super LeagueC China Super League Dalian ZhixingOur prob 49% — 49% — C —
Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three TownsChina Super LeagueC China Super League Yunnan YukunOur prob 51% — 51% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

China — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across China’s covered competitions: 232 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 44% 102 of 232 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (240)
Away wins 30% 69 of 232 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (240)
Over 2.5 goals 58% 135 of 232 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (240)
Both teams scored 63% 147 of 232 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (240)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (240 played matches).

Competitions in China

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in China by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.95
Attack
2.12
Defence
1.18
Form NextChongqing Tongliang Long (H) · 8 Nov
Net rating
+0.81
Attack
1.97
Defence
1.16
Form NextShenyang Urban (H) · 8 Nov
Net rating
+0.70
Attack
2.22
Defence
1.52
Form NextChengdu Better City (H) · 8 Nov
Net rating
+0.60
Attack
1.74
Defence
1.14
Form NextTianjin Teda (H) · 8 Nov
Net rating
+0.59
Attack
2.37
Defence
1.78
Form NextQingdao Youth Island (H) · 8 Nov
Net rating
+0.21
Attack
1.37
Defence
1.16
Form NextDalian Zhixing (A) · 8 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in China

What happened next to what we predicted