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Europe · 2026/27 season

Greece football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Greece — 3 competitions, 28 clubs, 67 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in Greece
Teams 28 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 63 of 230 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Greece

7 fixtures on 10 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Greece with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Olympiakos Piraeus vs PanathinaikosSuper League 1C Super League 1 Olympiakos PiraeusOur prob 40%Best odds 2.17 -14% 30% 44% C 2.17
AEK Athens FC vs OFISuper League 1C Super League 1 AEK Athens FCOur prob 72%Best odds 1.26 -16% 61% 76% C 1.26
PAOK vs KalamataSuper League 1C Super League 1 PAOKOur prob 69%Best odds 1.25 -24% 51% 75% C 1.25
Asteras Tripolis vs AtromitosSuper League 1C Super League 1 Asteras TripolisOur prob 41%Best odds 2.47 +5% 45% 39% C 2.47
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFCSuper League 1C Super League 1 Aris ThessalonikisOur prob 56%Best odds 1.77 +8% 62% 54% C 1.77
Kifisia vs PanetolikosSuper League 1C Super League 1 KifisiaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.12 +2% 47% 45% C 2.12
Iraklis 1908 vs LevadiakosSuper League 1C Super League 1 Iraklis 1908Our prob 40%Best odds 2.47 +8% 46% 39% C 2.47

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Greece — country trends

How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across Greece’s covered competitions: 328 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 43% 141 of 328 matches +1 pts vs latest season of each competition (559)
Away wins 34% 110 of 328 matches +3 pts vs latest season of each competition (559)
Over 2.5 goals 41% 133 of 328 matches -6 pts vs latest season of each competition (559)
Both teams scored 41% 136 of 328 matches -4 pts vs latest season of each competition (559)

Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (559 played matches).

Competitions in Greece

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Greece by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Super League 1
#1
Net rating
+1.61
Attack
2.33
Defence
0.72
Form NextOFI (H) · 10 Oct
Super League 1
#3
Net rating
+0.76
Attack
1.67
Defence
0.90
Form NextAEK Athens FC (A) · 10 Oct
Super League 1
#4
Net rating
+0.49
Attack
1.63
Defence
1.13
Form NextKalamata (H) · 10 Oct
Greece Cup
#5
Net rating
+0.48
Attack
1.29
Defence
0.81
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Greece

What happened next to what we predicted

Super League 1
  • Panetolikos vs PAOK1–3
  • Kalamata vs Panathinaikos0–1
  • OFI vs Asteras Tripolis2–2
  • Volos NFC vs AEK Athens FC1–2
  • Levadiakos vs Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
  • Aris Thessalonikis vs Iraklis 19080–0