Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars preview
Shooting Stars face Kano Pillars with a 59% probability of winning according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, which has a 12% chance of occurring. However, the predictions could be affected if Kano Pillars improve their recent form, as they have drawn three of their last six matches.
The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 45%, while both teams to score stands at 48%. Shooting Stars have an expected goals figure of 1.55, compared to Kano Pillars' 0.92. This suggests that Shooting Stars may dominate the attacking play, but if Kano Pillars can find their scoring touch, the match could produce different outcomes.
Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars: model vs market
| Source | Shooting Stars | Draw | Kano Pillars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 62% | 26% | 12% |
| Published | 59% | 26% | 14% |
| Edge | -11% | +2% | +9% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.92.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Shooting Stars and Kano Pillars expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.47
- Attack rating (Shooting Stars / Kano Pillars)
- 0.99 / 1.30
- Defence rating (Shooting Stars / Kano Pillars)
- 1.15 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Shooting Stars goals. Columns: Kano Pillars goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 48%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shooting Stars | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Kano Pillars | 14% | 6.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48% | 2.06 |
| No | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Shooting Stars or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Kano Pillars) | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Shooting Stars win by 2+ | 27% | 3.68 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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| 4 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Shooting Stars and Kano Pillars recent form
Shooting Stars
1W 1D 4L
Kano Pillars
2W 4D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Shooting Stars at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Kano Pillars away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Shooting Stars at home only, Kano Pillars away only.
Shooting Stars vs Kano Pillars head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Shooting Stars 5 · draws 2 · Kano Pillars 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Shooting Stars | 2-1 | Kano Pillars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-10-12 | Kano Pillars | 1-1 | Shooting Stars | Nigeria Premier Football League |
| 2025-05-11 | Kano Pillars | 3-1 | Shooting Stars | NPFL |
| 2024-12-14 | Shooting Stars | 2-0 | Kano Pillars | NPFL |
| 2024-04-08 | Kano Pillars | 1-2 | Shooting Stars | NPFL |
| 2023-11-19 | Shooting Stars | 1-0 | Kano Pillars | NPFL |
| 2022-07-17 | Kano Pillars | 2-1 | Shooting Stars | NPFL |
| 2022-03-13 | Shooting Stars | 1-0 | Kano Pillars | NPFL |
| 2017-06-07 | Shooting Stars | 0-0 | Kano Pillars | NPFL |
| 2017-01-22 | Kano Pillars | 2-1 | Shooting Stars | NPFL |