Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo preview
In the Serbia Super Liga fixture, Radnicki NIS faces Železničar Pančevo, with 1X2 probabilities showing Radnicki NIS at 16%, a draw at 28%, and Železničar Pančevo at 56%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs at a 16% probability.
Radnicki NIS has struggled recently with a form of L-L-L-L-W-L, while Železničar Pančevo has been more consistent with W-W-W-W-L-W. The expected goals are 0.68 for Radnicki NIS and 1.52 for Železničar Pančevo. The chances of Over 2.5 goals stand at 38%, and both teams to score is at 40%. A surprise result could occur if Radnicki NIS improves their attacking output significantly.
Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo: model vs market
| Source | Radnicki NIS | Draw | Železničar Pančevo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16% | 28% | 56% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 16% | 28% | 56% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.68.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Radnicki NIS and Železničar Pančevo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.20
- Attack rating (Radnicki NIS / Železničar Pančevo)
- 0.63 / 1.06
- Defence rating (Radnicki NIS / Železničar Pančevo)
- 1.27 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Radnicki NIS goals. Columns: Železničar Pančevo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Radnicki NIS | 16% | 6.41 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Železničar Pančevo | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.51 |
| No | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Radnicki NIS or draw) | 44% | 2.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Železničar Pančevo) | 84% | 1.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Železničar Pančevo win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Radnicki NIS and Železničar Pančevo recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Radnicki NIS at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
Železničar Pančevo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Radnicki NIS at home only, Železničar Pančevo away only.
Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Radnicki NIS 1 · draws 0 · Železničar Pančevo 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Železničar Pančevo | 2-1 | Radnicki NIS | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-12-20 | Radnicki NIS | 1-0 | Železničar Pančevo | Serbia Super Liga |
| 2025-08-17 | Železničar Pančevo | 3-0 | Radnicki NIS | Serbia Super Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Radnicki NIS, previous: Radnicki NIS vs FK Partizan: odds and pick
- Železničar Pančevo, previous: Radnicki 1923 – Železničar Pančevo, 2026-10-28