Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk preview
In the match between Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes Volochysk, the 1X2 probabilities show Ahrobiznes Volochysk at 46%, while Chernihiv sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects Ahrobiznes Volochysk's recent form of W-W-D-W-L-W compared to Chernihiv's W-L-L-L-W-L.
The model indicates a 50% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% probability for both teams to score. Chernihiv has expected goals of 1.11, while Ahrobiznes Volochysk has 1.56. If Chernihiv can improve their form or if Ahrobiznes Volochysk underperforms, these predictions could change.
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk: model vs market
| Source | Chernihiv | Draw | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 28% | 49% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 23% | 28% | 49% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes Volochysk expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Chernihiv / Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
- 0.89 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Chernihiv / Ahrobiznes Volochysk)
- 1.18 / 0.86
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Chernihiv goals. Columns: Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chernihiv | 23% | 4.30 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Chernihiv or draw) | 51% | 1.95 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Ahrobiznes Volochysk) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk win by 2+ | 26% | 3.90 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Chernihiv and Ahrobiznes Volochysk recent form
Chernihiv
2W 0D 4L
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Chernihiv at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Chernihiv at home only, Ahrobiznes Volochysk away only.
Chernihiv vs Ahrobiznes Volochysk head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Chernihiv 0 · draws 0 · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1-0 | Chernihiv | Persha Liga |
| 2025-11-08 | Chernihiv | 0-2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Persha Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Metal Kharkiv vs Yarud Mariupol' 2026-10-23
- Oleksandria v Probiy Horodenka — match page 2026-10-24
- Prykarpattia vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2026-10-24
- Polissya II vs SK Poltava — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Chernihiv, previous: Viktoriya Mykolaivka vs Chernihiv prediction
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk, previous: Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Metal Kharkiv: odds and pick