Zamalek SC vs APR Prediction & Betting Tips 24/10/2026

Zamalek SC vs APR preview

In the CAF Champions League match between Zamalek SC and APR, the 1X2 probabilities show Zamalek SC at 72%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 (17%). Zamalek SC has a strong recent form with 5 wins and 1 loss, while APR has 1 win and 3 losses in their last 4 matches.

The expected goals are 1.93 for Zamalek SC and just 0.46 for APR, indicating a significant attacking advantage for Zamalek SC. However, the 43% chance of Over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score suggest that if APR finds a way to score, it could change the dynamics of the match.

Zamalek SC vs APR: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Zamalek SC	Draw	APR
Model	72%	21%	7%
Market	—	—	—
Published	72%	21%	7%
Edge	—	—	—

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 0.46.
Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Zamalek SC and APR expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.93Zamalek SC

0.46APR

Total expected goals: 2.39
Attack rating (Zamalek SC / APR): 1.29 / 0.94
Defence rating (Zamalek SC / APR): 0.67 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Zamalek SC vs APR score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.0% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 1 16.9% 9.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 2 17.1% 7.9% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 3 11.0% 5.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 4+ 8.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Zamalek SC goals. Columns: APR goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Zamalek SC vs APR goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 70%

Over 2.5 43%

Over 3.5 22%

Both teams to score: 32%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Zamalek SC vs APR

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Zamalek SC	72%	1.39
	Draw	21%	4.77
	APR	7%	14.10
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	43%	2.34
	Under 2.5	57%	1.75
Both teams to score	Yes	32%	3.09
	No	68%	1.48
Double chance	1X (Zamalek SC or draw)	93%	1.08
	12 (either side)	79%	1.27
	X2 (draw or APR)	28%	3.57
Handicap -1	Zamalek SC win by 2+	46%	2.18
	Push (exactly one goal)	26%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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