Azerbaijan · 2026/27 season

Premyer Liqa Football Predictions

Neftchi Baku leads the Premyer Liqa with 15 points after 34 matches played this season. The average of 2.50 goals per match indicates a competitive environment, with 47% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 44% seeing both teams score. A low-scoring game or a strong defensive performance could make predictions less reliable.

Teams 12 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 34 of 198 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 6 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 42 so far this season

Upcoming Premyer Liqa fixtures

6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.

Premyer Liqa fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Araz vs KapazPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa ArazOur prob 38% — 38% — C —
Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FAPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa Neftchi BakuOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
Zira vs Şamaxı FKPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa ZiraOur prob 40% — 40% — C —
Sumqayıt vs QabalaPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa SumqayıtOur prob 34% — 34% — C —
Imisli FK vs QarabagPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa QarabagOur prob 61% — 61% — C —
Safa Baku vs TuranPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa TuranOur prob 57% — 57% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Betting sites compared

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them in Kenya — the full comparison and how we read it is on its own page

Compare in full
# Betting site Welcome offer Why it is here Visit
1 Mozzartbet 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply.
  • M-PESA Paybill 290059
  • Daily Jackpot
  • Live betting
Get offer
2 Betwinner First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • Live betting around the clock
  • 30+ markets on live events
Get offer
3 22Bet 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply.
  • M-Pesa and Airtel Money deposits
  • Live in-play betting
  • Android and iOS app
Get offer
4 Melbet 200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply.
  • 1,000+ events every day
  • 30+ markets on live events
  • 24/7 customer support
Get offer

Premyer Liqa table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Premyer Liqa table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Neftchi Baku 6 501 185 +13 15
2 Sabah FA 5 500 141 +13 15
3 Qarabag 5 410 94 +5 13
4 Turan 6 321 64 +2 11
5 Zira 6 312 78 -1 10
6 Şamaxı FK 6 231 86 +2 9
7 Kapaz 5 212 47 -3 7
8 Imisli FK 6 114 611 -5 4
9 Qabala 6 114 27 -5 4
10 Safa Baku 6 105 211 -9 3
11 Sumqayıt 5 023 48 -4 2
12 Araz 6 024 513 -8 2

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Premyer Liqa trends

How Premyer Liqa matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 34 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 53% 18 of 34 matches +15 pts vs 2025/26 (198)
Away wins 26% 9 of 34 matches -11 pts vs 2025/26 (198)
Over 2.5 goals 47% 16 of 34 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (198)
Both teams scored 44% 15 of 34 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (198)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (198 played matches).

Top Premyer Liqa teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#3
Net rating
+0.52
Attack
1.49
Defence
0.97
Form NextImisli FK (A) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Premyer Liqa

From the Premyer Liqa scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • Oumar DiawSafa Baku 0 G 0 A

Recent Premyer Liqa results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Premyer Liqa results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Kapaz vs SumqayıtOur pick Sumqayıt · 37% Sumqayıt to win 37% 1–1 Missed
Şamaxı FK vs ArazOur pick Şamaxı FK · 48% Şamaxı FK to win 48% 2–1 Correct
Sabah FA vs Imisli FKOur pick Sabah FA · 81% Sabah FA to win 81% 3–1 Correct
Turan vs ZiraOur pick Turan · 38% Turan to win 38% 1–0 Correct
Qarabag vs Safa BakuOur pick Qarabag · 79% Qarabag to win 79% 1–0 Correct
Qabala vs Neftchi BakuOur pick Neftchi Baku · 58% Neftchi Baku to win 58% 0–3 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.