Next fixture · Premyer Liqa
Neftchi Baku
at
Şamaxı FK
Away
- Our pick
- Neftchi Baku to win C
Updated
UEFA Europa Conference League · Azerbaijan · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Neftchi Baku fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Current rank2nd 18 pts · full tableForm · last 5
Next fixture · Premyer Liqa
2026/27 league season, 9 matches played. Straight tallies of Neftchi Baku results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 9 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Şamaxı FK (A) | Neftchi BakuOur prob 56% | 56% | — | |
| vs Kapaz (H) | Neftchi BakuOur prob 59% | 59% | — | |
| at Araz (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Zira (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Safa Baku (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Imisli FK (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Qabala (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Sabah FA (A) | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 16 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 22 July 2026 2nd Qualifying Round |
vs Dinamo Minsk | 2–4 loss |
| 30 July 2026 2nd Qualifying Round |
at Dinamo Minsk | 1–0 win |
Last 2 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Turan (H)Our pick Neftchi Baku · 55% | Neftchi Baku to win | 55% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| at Qarabag (A)Our pick Qarabag · 46% | Qarabag to win | 46% | 3–3 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Neftchi Baku’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
League matches this season only: Neftchi Baku at home in the left column, away in the right.