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Asia · 2026/27 season

Azerbaijan football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Azerbaijan — 1 competition, 12 clubs, 42 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Azerbaijan
Teams 12 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 34 of 198 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Azerbaijan

2 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Azerbaijan with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Araz vs KapazPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa ArazOur prob 38% — 38% — C —
Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FAPremyer LiqaC Premyer Liqa Neftchi BakuOur prob 42% — 42% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Azerbaijan — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Azerbaijan’s covered competitions: 34 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 53% 18 of 34 matches +15 pts vs 2025/26 (198)
Away wins 26% 9 of 34 matches -11 pts vs 2025/26 (198)
Over 2.5 goals 47% 16 of 34 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (198)
Both teams scored 44% 15 of 34 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (198)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (198 played matches).

Competitions in Azerbaijan

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Azerbaijan by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#3
Net rating
+0.52
Attack
1.49
Defence
0.97
Form NextImisli FK (A) · 11 Oct
#4
Net rating
+0.20
Attack
1.28
Defence
1.07
Form NextSafa Baku (A) · 11 Oct
#5
Net rating
+0.03
Attack
1.23
Defence
1.19
Form NextŞamaxı FK (H) · 10 Oct
Net rating
-0.06
Attack
1.23
Defence
1.29
Form NextZira (A) · 10 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Azerbaijan

What happened next to what we predicted

Premyer Liqa
  • Kapaz vs Sumqayıt1–1
  • Şamaxı FK vs Araz2–1
  • Sabah FA vs Imisli FK3–1
  • Turan vs Zira1–0
  • Qarabag vs Safa Baku1–0
  • Qabala vs Neftchi Baku0–3