Upcoming England Championship fixtures
12 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 48 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd vs WrexhamEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Sheffield UtdOur prob 41%Best odds 2.60 | +3% | 41% | 38% | C | 2.60 |
| Norwich vs WatfordEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | NorwichOur prob 59%Best odds 1.65 | +1% | 59% | 59% | C | 1.65 |
| Stoke City vs PrestonEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Stoke CityOur prob 59%Best odds 1.73 | +4% | 59% | 55% | C | 1.73 |
| Lincoln vs BirminghamEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | BirminghamOur prob 47%Best odds 2.11 | +2% | 47% | 45% | C | 2.11 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers vs CardiffEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Wolverhampton WanderersOur prob 54%Best odds 1.65 | -4% | 54% | 58% | C | 1.65 |
| Southampton vs QPREngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | SouthamptonOur prob 52%Best odds 1.78 | -2% | 52% | 54% | C | 1.78 |
| Burnley vs PortsmouthEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | BurnleyOur prob 42%Best odds 2.12 | -4% | 42% | 46% | C | 2.12 |
| West Ham vs West BromEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | West HamOur prob 61%Best odds 1.57 | 0% | 61% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| Millwall vs DerbyEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | MillwallOur prob 55%Best odds 1.73 | 0% | 55% | 55% | C | 1.73 |
| Bolton vs Bristol CityEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Bristol CityOur prob 38%Best odds 2.42 | -2% | 38% | 39% | C | 2.42 |
| Middlesbrough vs CharltonEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | MiddlesbroughOur prob 74%Best odds 1.31 | 0% | 74% | 73% | C | 1.31 |
| Swansea vs BlackburnEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | SwanseaOur prob 49%Best odds 1.82 | -5% | 49% | 54% | C | 1.82 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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England Championship table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Southampton |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 24 | |
| 3 |  Swansea |
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 | |
| 4 |  West Ham |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | +17 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 21 | |
| 6 |  West Brom |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 21 | |
| 7 |  QPR |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 20 | |
| 8 |  Birmingham |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Stoke City |
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Blackburn |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 18 | |
| 11 |  Portsmouth |
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 18 | |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd |
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 16 | |
| 13 |  Millwall |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 15 | |
| 14 |  Bristol City |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 | |
| 15 |  Lincoln |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 15 | |
| 16 |  Cardiff |
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 14 | |
| 17 |  Wrexham |
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 | |
| 18 |  Bolton |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 14 | |
| 19 |  Charlton |
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 14 | |
| 20 |  Norwich |
12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 12 | |
| 21 |  Watford |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 | |
| 22 |  Burnley |
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 8 | |
| 23 |  Derby |
12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 7 | |
| 24 |  Preston |
12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
England Championship trends
How England Championship matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 144 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (557 played matches).
Top England Championship teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.36
- Defence
- 1.32
- Net rating
- +0.62
- Attack
- 2.07
- Defence
- 1.45
- Net rating
- +0.60
- Attack
- 1.70
- Defence
- 1.11
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in England Championship
From the England Championship scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
W. LankshearMiddlesbrough
11 G 0 A
-
A. GuðjohnsenBlackburn
8 G 1 A
-
C. LarinSouthampton
7 G 0 A
-
J. BowenWest Ham
6 G 5 A
-
J. MoylanCardiff
6 G 3 A
-
Fer LópezWolverhampton Wanderers
5 G 3 A
-
K. MooreWrexham
5 G 1 A
- P. BamfordSheffield Utd 5 G 1 A
Recent England Championship results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln vs BurnleyOur pick Burnley · 40% | Burnley to win | 40% | 4–1 | Missed | |
| Stoke City vs Bristol CityOur pick Stoke City · 41% | Stoke City to win | 41% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| QPR vs SwanseaOur pick Swansea · 36% | Swansea to win | 36% | 5–0 | Missed | |
| Blackburn vs WrexhamOur pick Blackburn · 38% | Blackburn to win | 38% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Preston vs West BromOur pick West Brom · 51% | West Brom to win | 51% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| West Ham vs SouthamptonOur pick West Ham · 56% | West Ham to win | 56% | 2–3 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.