Upcoming England Championship fixtures
20 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 40 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham vs QPREngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | West HamOur prob 61%Best odds 1.55 | +1% | 63% | 61% | C | 1.55 |
| West Brom vs BirminghamEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | West BromOur prob 43%Best odds 2.37 | +7% | 48% | 41% | C | 2.37 |
| Swansea vs NorwichEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | SwanseaOur prob 45%Best odds 2.50 | +28% | 66% | 38% | C | 2.50 |
| Charlton vs Bristol CityEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Bristol CityOur prob 41%Best odds 2.32 | 0% | 41% | 41% | C | 2.32 |
| Watford vs BurnleyEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | BurnleyOur prob 40%Best odds 2.32 | -5% | 37% | 42% | C | 2.32 |
| Preston vs MillwallEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | MillwallOur prob 40%Best odds 2.60 | +7% | 45% | 38% | C | 2.60 |
| Sheffield Utd vs LincolnEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Sheffield UtdOur prob 44%Best odds 2.04 | -9% | 37% | 46% | C | 2.04 |
| Blackburn vs CardiffEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | CardiffOur prob 37%Best odds 2.57 | -4% | 34% | 38% | C | 2.57 |
| Bolton vs Stoke CityEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Stoke CityOur prob 37%Best odds 2.60 | 0% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.60 |
| Derby vs WrexhamEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | DerbyOur prob 36%Best odds 2.80 | +4% | 40% | 35% | C | 2.80 |
| Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton WanderersEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | MiddlesbroughOur prob 41%Best odds 2.27 | -6% | 36% | 42% | C | 2.27 |
| Southampton vs PortsmouthEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | SouthamptonOur prob 58%Best odds 1.62 | 0% | 59% | 58% | C | 1.62 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers vs BoltonEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Wolverhampton WanderersOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
| Cardiff vs WatfordEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | CardiffOur prob 66% | — | 66% | — | C | — |
| Burnley vs CharltonEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | BurnleyOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| Bristol City vs BlackburnEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Bristol CityOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| Millwall vs SwanseaEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | SwanseaOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Wrexham vs West BromEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | West BromOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Birmingham vs PrestonEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | BirminghamOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — |
| Stoke City vs MiddlesbroughEngland ChampionshipC | England Championship | Stoke CityOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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England Championship table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 | |
| 2 |  West Ham |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +11 | 15 | |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Southampton |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 14 | |
| 6 |  West Brom |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 | |
| 7 |  QPR |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Stoke City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 13 | |
| 9 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 10 |  Charlton |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 11 |  Birmingham |
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 11 | |
| 12 |  Millwall |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | |
| 13 |  Lincoln |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 14 |  Wrexham |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 |  Bolton |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | |
| 16 |  Blackburn |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 |  Norwich |
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 19 |  Portsmouth |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 20 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 21 |  Cardiff |
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 22 |  Derby |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 |  Preston |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 |  Burnley |
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
England Championship trends
How England Championship matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 95 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (557 played matches).
Top England Championship teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.85
- Attack
- 2.32
- Defence
- 1.47
- Net rating
- +0.57
- Attack
- 1.92
- Defence
- 1.35
- Net rating
- +0.51
- Attack
- 1.53
- Defence
- 1.02
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in England Championship
From the England Championship scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
-
C. LarinSouthampton
7 G 0 A
-
W. LankshearMiddlesbrough
6 G 0 A
-
M. TouréNorwich
5 G 0 A
-
J. BowenWest Ham
4 G 3 A
-
Fer LópezWolverhampton Wanderers
4 G 2 A
-
L. DykesMillwall
4 G 1 A
-
K. MavropanosWest Ham
4 G 0 A
-
F. AzazSouthampton
3 G 4 A
Recent England Championship results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich vs BoltonOur pick Norwich · 60% | Norwich to win | 60% | 3–4 | Missed | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers vs West BromOur pick Wolverhampton Wanderers · 47% | Wolverhampton Wanderers to win | 47% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Burnley vs DerbyOur pick Burnley · 48% | Burnley to win | 48% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Birmingham vs MiddlesbroughOur pick Middlesbrough · 39% | Middlesbrough to win | 39% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| QPR vs PrestonOur pick QPR · 54% | QPR to win | 54% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Portsmouth vs BlackburnOur pick Portsmouth · 43% | Portsmouth to win | 43% | 2–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.