Updated
England Championship · England · 2026/27
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Derby fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
Current rank23th 7 pts · full tableForm · last 5
Next fixture · England Championship
Derby
at
Millwall
Away
18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 10 bookmakers, each at its own last update.
2026/27 league season, 12 matches played. Straight tallies of Derby results, three points for a win.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.
Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 12 league matches, recomputed from results.
Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.
Next 8 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Millwall (A) | MillwallOur prob 55%Best odds 1.73 | 55% | 1.73 | |
| vs Norwich (H) | NorwichOur prob 44% | 44% | — | |
| vs Bolton (H) | BoltonOur prob 40% | 40% | — | |
| at Southampton (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Watford (H) | not yet published | — | — | |
| at Middlesbrough (A) | not yet published | — | — | |
| vs Bristol City (H) | not yet published | — | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update. 26 more fixtures scheduled later this season.
| Date · round | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 8 August 2026 Round of 128 |
vs Lincoln | 1–2 loss |
Last 3 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Sheffield Utd (A)Our pick Sheffield Utd · 56% | Sheffield Utd to win | 56% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| vs Stoke City (H)Our pick Stoke City · 42% | Stoke City to win | 42% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| at QPR (A)Our pick QPR · 54% | QPR to win | 54% | 1–4 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Derby’s goals first; H/A = home/away.
Derby at home Derby awayLeague matches this season only: Derby at home in the left column, away in the right.
B. ClarkMidfielder
2 G 2 A