Today’s matches in England
8 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester vs WiganLeague OneC | League One | LeicesterOur prob 65%Best odds 1.40 | -2% | 65% | 68% | C | 1.40 |
| Milton Keynes Dons vs BromleyLeague OneC | League One | Milton Keynes DonsOur prob 58%Best odds 1.63 | 0% | 58% | 58% | C | 1.63 |
| Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge UnitedLeague OneC | League One | Sheffield WednesdayOur prob 47%Best odds 2.07 | 0% | 47% | 46% | C | 2.07 |
| Oxford United vs Stockport CountyLeague OneC | League One | Stockport CountyOur prob 43%Best odds 2.07 | -3% | 43% | 47% | C | 2.07 |
| Luton vs DoncasterLeague OneC | League One | LutonOur prob 58%Best odds 1.55 | -3% | 58% | 61% | C | 1.55 |
| Barnet vs YorkLeague TwoC | League Two | BarnetOur prob 45%Best odds 2.09 | -1% | 45% | 46% | C | 2.09 |
| Bradford vs PeterboroughLeague CupC | League Cup | BradfordOur prob 55%Best odds 1.71 | -2% | 55% | 57% | C | 1.71 |
| Fleetwood Town vs ArsenalLeague CupB | League Cup | ArsenalOur prob 81%Best odds 1.10 | -8% | 81% | 88% | B | 1.10 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
England — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across England’s covered competitions: 914 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (3013 played matches).
Competitions in England
6 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
England · league- Teams
- 24
- Played
- 144 of 552
- Upcoming
- 50
- Home wins
- 40%
- Over 2.5
- 60%
- BTTS
- 63%
-
England · cup- Teams
- 344
- Played
- 326 of 366
- Upcoming
- 50
- Home wins
- 44%
- Over 2.5
- 65%
- BTTS
- 57%
-
England · cup- Teams
- 92
- Played
- 76 of 84
- Upcoming
- 50
- Home wins
- 39%
- Over 2.5
- 57%
- BTTS
- 55%
-
England · league- Teams
- 24
- Played
- 138 of 552
- Upcoming
- 50
- Home wins
- 41%
- Over 2.5
- 54%
- BTTS
- 58%
-
England · league- Teams
- 24
- Played
- 150 of 552
- Upcoming
- 50
- Home wins
- 47%
- Over 2.5
- 45%
- BTTS
- 55%
-
England · league- Teams
- 20
- Played
- 80 of 380
- Upcoming
- 10
- Home wins
- 39%
- Over 2.5
- 50%
- BTTS
- 50%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in England by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.36
- Attack
- 2.70
- Defence
- 1.34
- Net rating
- +1.23
- Attack
- 2.17
- Defence
- 0.94
- Net rating
- +1.08
- Attack
- 2.42
- Defence
- 1.34
- Net rating
- +1.07
- Attack
- 2.05
- Defence
- 0.98
- Net rating
- +1.06
- Attack
- 2.37
- Defence
- 1.31
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.39
- Defence
- 1.35
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in England
What happened next to what we predicted