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Europe · 2026/27 season

England football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in England — 6 competitions, 92 clubs, 462 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 6 covered in England
Teams 92 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 413 of 2120 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window
Model accuracy 43% last 30 days · 145 settled 1X2 picks

Next fixtures in England

1 fixture on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in England with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
West Ham vs QPREngland ChampionshipC England Championship West HamOur prob 61%Best odds 1.55 +1% 63% 61% C 1.55

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

England — country trends

How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across England’s covered competitions: 1282 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 45% 578 of 1282 matches +1 pts vs latest season of each competition (3016)
Away wins 33% 427 of 1282 matches +1 pts vs latest season of each competition (3016)
Over 2.5 goals 61% 781 of 1282 matches +7 pts vs latest season of each competition (3016)
Both teams scored 58% 739 of 1282 matches +3 pts vs latest season of each competition (3016)

Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (3016 played matches).

Competitions in England

6 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in England by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

England Championship
#2
Net rating
+0.85
Attack
2.32
Defence
1.47
Form NextQPR (H) · 9 Oct
League Two
#3
Net rating
+0.79
Attack
2.22
Defence
1.43
Form NextBristol Rovers (A) · 10 Oct
Premier League
#4
Net rating
+0.71
Attack
1.85
Defence
1.14
Form NextLeeds (H) · 10 Oct
Premier League
#5
Net rating
+0.64
Attack
2.06
Defence
1.41
Form NextSunderland (A) · 10 Oct
England Championship
#6
Net rating
+0.57
Attack
1.92
Defence
1.35
Form NextPortsmouth (H) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in England

What happened next to what we predicted