Upcoming League Cup fixtures
8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford vs PeterboroughLeague CupC | League Cup | BradfordOur prob 55%Best odds 1.71 | -2% | 55% | 57% | C | 1.71 |
| Fleetwood Town vs ArsenalLeague CupB | League Cup | ArsenalOur prob 81%Best odds 1.10 | -8% | 81% | 88% | B | 1.10 |
| Manchester City vs BrightonLeague CupA | League Cup | Manchester CityOur prob 53%Best odds 1.66 | -5% | 53% | 58% | A | 1.66 |
| Bournemouth vs Aston VillaLeague CupA | League Cup | BournemouthOur prob 44%Best odds 2.32 | +3% | 44% | 42% | A | 2.32 |
| Fulham vs Crystal PalaceLeague CupA | League Cup | FulhamOur prob 49%Best odds 1.93 | -2% | 49% | 51% | A | 1.93 |
| Sunderland vs BrentfordLeague CupA | League Cup | BrentfordOur prob 47%Best odds 2.05 | 0% | 47% | 47% | A | 2.05 |
| Liverpool vs ChelseaLeague CupA | League Cup | LiverpoolOur prob 43%Best odds 2.38 | +1% | 43% | 41% | A | 2.38 |
| Everton vs Newcastle UnitedLeague CupA | League Cup | EvertonOur prob 42%Best odds 2.31 | 0% | 42% | 43% | A | 2.31 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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League Cup table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fleetwood Town |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | +6 | 9 | |
| 2 |  Peterborough |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 7 | |
| 3 |  Bradford |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 | |
| 4 |  Brentford |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 6 | |
| 5 |  Chelsea |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 6 | |
| 6 |  Everton |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 6 | |
| 7 |  West Ham |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 | |
| 8 |  Fulham |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 9 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 6 | |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 6 | |
| 11 |  Newcastle United |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 6 | |
| 12 |  Lincoln |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 |  Middlesbrough |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | |
| 14 |  Norwich |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | |
| 15 |  Barnsley |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 5 | |
| 16 |  Reading |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 4 | |
| 17 |  Stoke City |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 | |
| 18 |  Walsall |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 19 |  Leyton Orient |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
| 20 |  Millwall |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 21 |  Manchester City |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 | |
| 22 |  Bournemouth |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +4 | 3 | |
| 23 |  Crystal Palace |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | |
| 24 |  West Brom |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | |
| 25 |  Tottenham |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 3 | |
| 26 |  Arsenal |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 3 | |
| 27 |  Liverpool |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 28 |  Aston Villa |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | |
| 29 |  Luton |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 30 |  Brighton |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 31 |  Crawley Town |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | |
| 32 |  Sunderland |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 | |
| 33 |  Ipswich |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | |
| 34 |  Coventry |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | |
| 35 |  Cardiff |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 36 |  Crewe |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 37 |  Plymouth |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 38 |  Blackburn |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 39 |  Cambridge United |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 40 |  Leeds |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 | |
| 41 |  Blackpool |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 42 |  Southampton |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 43 |  Leicester |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | |
| 44 |  Sheffield Wednesday |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 | |
| 45 |  Charlton |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | |
| 46 |  Stevenage |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | |
| 47 |  Watford |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 48 |  Birmingham |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | |
| 49 |  Burnley |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 50 |  Tranmere |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 51 |  QPR |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 52 |  Notts County |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 53 |  Huddersfield |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 54 |  Wigan |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 55 |  Newport County |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 56 |  Bromley |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 57 |  Salford City |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 58 |  Stockport County |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 59 |  Hull City |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | |
| 60 |  Rochdale |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 61 |  Doncaster |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 62 |  AFC Wimbledon |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | |
| 63 |  Preston |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 64 |  Shrewsbury |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 65 |  Swindon Town |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | |
| 66 |  Manchester United |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | |
| 67 |  Wycombe |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 68 |  Barnet |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 69 |  Derby |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 70 |  Burton Albion |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 71 |  Accrington ST |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | |
| 72 |  Bristol City |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 73 |  Wrexham |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 74 |  Northampton |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 75 |  Bolton |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 76 |  Swansea |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 77 |  Bristol Rovers |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 78 |  Chesterfield |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | |
| 79 |  Portsmouth |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 80 |  Grimsby |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 81 |  Cheltenham |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | |
| 82 |  York |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 83 |  Oldham |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 84 |  Oxford United |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 85 |  Colchester |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 86 |  Exeter City |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 87 |  Nottingham Forest |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | |
| 88 |  Milton Keynes Dons |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | |
| 89 |  Rotherham |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | |
| 90 |  Port Vale |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | |
| 91 |  Gillingham |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | |
| 92 |  Mansfield Town |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
League Cup trends
How League Cup matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 76 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (93 played matches).
Top League Cup teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.23
- Attack
- 2.19
- Defence
- 0.96
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.41
- Defence
- 1.37
- Net rating
- +1.04
- Attack
- 2.40
- Defence
- 1.36
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in League Cup
From the League Cup scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- H. LeonardPeterborough 4 G 0 A
- Y. SalechCardiff 3 G 1 A
-
T. BarryEverton
3 G 1 A
- R. ClearyBarnsley 3 G 1 A
- R. ChristieBournemouth 3 G 0 A
- D. WelbeckChelsea 3 G 0 A
- C. EvansFleetwood Town 3 G 0 A
-
V. CastellanosWest Ham
3 G 0 A
Recent League Cup results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City vs NorwichOur pick Manchester City · 77% | Manchester City to win | 77% | 5–0 | Correct | |
| Coventry vs Aston VillaOur pick Aston Villa · 45% | Aston Villa to win | 45% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Manchester United vs BrightonOur pick Manchester United · 51% | Manchester United to win | 51% | 2–3 | Missed | |
| Fleetwood Town vs Sheffield UtdOur pick Sheffield Utd · 50% | Sheffield Utd to win | 50% | 1–0 | Missed | |
| Everton vs Wolverhampton WanderersOur pick Everton · 57% | Everton to win | 57% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Ipswich vs ArsenalOur pick Arsenal · 70% | Arsenal to win | 70% | 2–4 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.