Upcoming League One fixtures
17 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 43 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester vs WiganLeague OneC | League One | LeicesterOur prob 65%Best odds 1.42 | -2% | 65% | 67% | C | 1.42 |
| Milton Keynes Dons vs BromleyLeague OneC | League One | Milton Keynes DonsOur prob 57%Best odds 1.67 | 0% | 57% | 57% | C | 1.67 |
| Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge UnitedLeague OneC | League One | Sheffield WednesdayOur prob 47%Best odds 2.05 | 0% | 47% | 47% | C | 2.05 |
| Oxford United vs Stockport CountyLeague OneC | League One | Stockport CountyOur prob 43%Best odds 2.03 | -3% | 43% | 47% | C | 2.03 |
| Luton vs DoncasterLeague OneC | League One | LutonOur prob 58%Best odds 1.57 | -3% | 58% | 61% | C | 1.57 |
| Bradford vs HuddersfieldLeague OneC | League One | BradfordOur prob 37%Best odds 2.57 | 0% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.57 |
| Plymouth vs ReadingLeague OneC | League One | PlymouthOur prob 39%Best odds 2.30 | -3% | 39% | 42% | C | 2.30 |
| Leyton Orient vs Cambridge UnitedLeague OneC | League One | Cambridge UnitedOur prob 37%Best odds 2.50 | -1% | 37% | 38% | C | 2.50 |
| Leicester vs StevenageLeague OneC | League One | LeicesterOur prob 50%Best odds 1.78 | -3% | 50% | 53% | C | 1.78 |
| Wigan vs BromleyLeague OneC | League One | WiganOur prob 49%Best odds 1.91 | -1% | 49% | 50% | C | 1.91 |
| Barnsley vs Oxford UnitedLeague OneC | League One | Oxford UnitedOur prob 43%Best odds 2.38 | +3% | 43% | 39% | C | 2.38 |
| Milton Keynes Dons vs DoncasterLeague OneC | League One | Milton Keynes DonsOur prob 38%Best odds 2.40 | -1% | 38% | 39% | C | 2.40 |
| Peterborough vs LutonLeague OneC | League One | LutonOur prob 48%Best odds 1.93 | -2% | 48% | 50% | C | 1.93 |
| Wycombe vs Burton AlbionLeague OneC | League One | WycombeOur prob 56%Best odds 1.60 | -4% | 56% | 59% | C | 1.60 |
| Mansfield Town vs Notts CountyLeague OneC | League One | Mansfield TownOur prob 54%Best odds 1.82 | 0% | 54% | 53% | C | 1.82 |
| Stockport County vs AFC WimbledonLeague OneC | League One | Stockport CountyOur prob 75%Best odds 1.29 | +1% | 75% | 74% | C | 1.29 |
| Sheffield Wednesday vs BlackpoolLeague OneC | League One | Sheffield WednesdayOur prob 58%Best odds 1.65 | +1% | 58% | 58% | C | 1.65 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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League One table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 11 | +13 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Stockport County |
12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Bradford |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Plymouth |
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 | |
| 5 |  Reading |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 13 | +12 | 21 | |
| 6 |  Cambridge United |
12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 20 | |
| 7 |  Oxford United |
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 19 | |
| 8 |  Sheffield Wednesday |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 18 | |
| 9 |  Mansfield Town |
11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 18 | |
| 10 |  Luton |
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 17 | |
| 11 |  Burton Albion |
13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 17 | |
| 12 |  Stevenage |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 15 | |
| 13 |  Leicester |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 | |
| 14 |  Wycombe |
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 15 | |
| 15 |  Leyton Orient |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 14 | |
| 16 |  AFC Wimbledon |
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 13 | |
| 17 |  Doncaster |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | |
| 18 |  Milton Keynes Dons |
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 | |
| 19 |  Notts County |
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 11 | |
| 20 |  Blackpool |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 | |
| 21 |  Peterborough |
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 | |
| 22 |  Bromley |
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 9 | |
| 23 |  Barnsley |
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 | |
| 24 |  Wigan |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
League One trends
How League One matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 138 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (557 played matches).
Top League One teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.81
- Attack
- 1.90
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.70
- Attack
- 1.77
- Defence
- 1.07
- Net rating
- +0.64
- Attack
- 1.67
- Defence
- 1.03
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in League One
From the League One scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- K. WoottonStockport County 9 G 1 A
- J. TaylorHuddersfield 8 G 2 A
- J. MarriottReading 8 G 0 A
- A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons 7 G 2 A
- N. WellsLuton 7 G 2 A
- D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield 6 G 5 A
- M. SmithMansfield Town 6 G 2 A
- Kyreece LisbieReading 5 G 4 A
Recent League One results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromley vs PeterboroughOur pick Peterborough · 46% | Peterborough to win | 46% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Notts County vs Stockport CountyOur pick Stockport County · 55% | Stockport County to win | 55% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Cambridge United vs PlymouthOur pick Cambridge United · 42% | Cambridge United to win | 42% | 2–3 | Missed | |
| Stevenage vs Milton Keynes DonsOur pick Stevenage · 50% | Stevenage to win | 50% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Blackpool vs Mansfield TownOur pick Mansfield Town · 38% | Mansfield Town to win | 38% | 1–4 | Correct | |
| Doncaster vs Sheffield WednesdayOur pick Sheffield Wednesday · 41% | Sheffield Wednesday to win | 41% | 2–0 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.