Upcoming League One fixtures
12 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 48 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth vs AFC WimbledonLeague OneC | League One | PlymouthOur prob 62%Best odds 1.53 | +2% | 64% | 62% | C | 1.53 |
| Notts County vs Oxford UnitedLeague OneC | League One | Oxford UnitedOur prob 37%Best odds 2.64 | +3% | 39% | 36% | C | 2.64 |
| Huddersfield vs Sheffield WednesdayLeague OneC | League One | HuddersfieldOur prob 50%Best odds 1.81 | -6% | 46% | 52% | C | 1.81 |
| Leicester vs PeterboroughLeague OneC | League One | LeicesterOur prob 56%Best odds 1.61 | -10% | 49% | 59% | C | 1.61 |
| Bradford vs Leyton OrientLeague OneC | League One | BradfordOur prob 54%Best odds 1.75 | -3% | 51% | 54% | C | 1.75 |
| Milton Keynes Dons vs ReadingLeague OneC | League One | ReadingOur prob 40%Best odds 2.43 | -1% | 40% | 40% | C | 2.43 |
| Doncaster vs Burton AlbionLeague OneC | League One | DoncasterOur prob 53%Best odds 1.70 | -11% | 45% | 56% | C | 1.70 |
| Wycombe vs LutonLeague OneC | League One | LutonOur prob 37%Best odds 2.57 | 0% | 37% | 37% | C | 2.57 |
| Stevenage vs WiganLeague OneC | League One | StevenageOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 | +9% | 52% | 43% | C | 2.20 |
| Cambridge United vs BlackpoolLeague OneC | League One | Cambridge UnitedOur prob 47%Best odds 2.11 | +8% | 53% | 45% | C | 2.11 |
| Mansfield Town vs BromleyLeague OneC | League One | Mansfield TownOur prob 55%Best odds 1.76 | +3% | 57% | 54% | C | 1.76 |
| Stockport County vs BarnsleyLeague OneC | League One | Stockport CountyOur prob 66%Best odds 1.44 | +2% | 68% | 65% | C | 1.44 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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League One table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Plymouth |
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 16 | |
| 2 |  Bradford |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 16 | |
| 3 |  Huddersfield |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Sheffield Wednesday |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 14 | |
| 5 |  Stockport County |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 13 | |
| 6 |  Cambridge United |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Reading |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Burton Albion |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 | |
| 9 |  AFC Wimbledon |
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 | |
| 10 |  Oxford United |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 11 | |
| 11 |  Leyton Orient |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 10 | |
| 12 |  Wycombe |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 | |
| 13 |  Stevenage |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 9 | |
| 14 |  Leicester |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 15 |  Blackpool |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 | |
| 16 |  Luton |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | |
| 18 |  Barnsley |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 | |
| 19 |  Bromley |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | |
| 20 |  Notts County |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 |  Doncaster |
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons |
7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | |
| 23 |  Peterborough |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 | |
| 24 |  Wigan |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
League One trends
How League One matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 90 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (557 played matches).
Top League One teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.52
- Attack
- 1.78
- Defence
- 1.27
- Net rating
- +0.49
- Attack
- 1.74
- Defence
- 1.25
- Net rating
- +0.49
- Attack
- 1.70
- Defence
- 1.22
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in League One
From the League One scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- J. MarriottReading 8 G 0 A
- A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons 5 G 1 A
- J. TaylorHuddersfield 5 G 1 A
- K. WoottonStockport County 5 G 1 A
- J. DiamondStockport County 4 G 2 A
- J. KabiaLeyton Orient 4 G 2 A
- J. LoweSheffield Wednesday 4 G 1 A
- N. WellsLuton 4 G 1 A
Recent League One results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reading vs BradfordOur pick Reading · 43% | Reading to win | 43% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Burton Albion vs HuddersfieldOur pick Huddersfield · 47% | Huddersfield to win | 47% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Leyton Orient vs PlymouthOur pick Plymouth · 45% | Plymouth to win | 45% | 0–2 | Correct | |
| Plymouth vs Burton AlbionOur pick Plymouth · 62% | Plymouth to win | 62% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Wycombe vs ReadingOur pick Reading · 40% | Reading to win | 40% | 2–2 | Missed | |
| Cambridge United vs AFC WimbledonOur pick Cambridge United · 54% | Cambridge United to win | 54% | 1–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.