Updated

England · 2026/27 season

League Two Football Predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every League Two fixture — 24 clubs, 150 of 552 matches played, 156 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Teams 24 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 150 of 552 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 13 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 156 so far this season

Upcoming League Two fixtures

13 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 47 more scheduled later this season.

League Two fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Barnet vs YorkPostponedLeague TwoC League Two BarnetOur prob 54%Best odds 2.08 — 54% — C 2.08
Newport County vs ChesterfieldLeague TwoC League Two ChesterfieldOur prob 45%Best odds 2.07 -2% 45% 47% C 2.07
Port Vale vs RochdaleLeague TwoC League Two Port ValeOur prob 50%Best odds 1.73 -5% 50% 55% C 1.73
Grimsby vs YorkLeague TwoC League Two GrimsbyOur prob 39%Best odds 2.30 -2% 39% 41% C 2.30
Fleetwood Town vs Bristol RoversLeague TwoC League Two Fleetwood TownOur prob 39%Best odds 2.70 +4% 39% 35% C 2.70
Oldham vs Crawley TownLeague TwoC League Two OldhamOur prob 54%Best odds 1.68 -2% 54% 56% C 1.68
Shrewsbury vs GillinghamLeague TwoC League Two ShrewsburyOur prob 47%Best odds 2.00 -1% 47% 48% C 2.00
Swindon Town vs RotherhamLeague TwoC League Two Swindon TownOur prob 42%Best odds 2.35 +2% 42% 40% C 2.35
Accrington ST vs NorthamptonLeague TwoC League Two Accrington STOur prob 45%Best odds 2.25 +2% 45% 43% C 2.25
Colchester vs WalsallLeague TwoC League Two WalsallOur prob 39%Best odds 2.62 +3% 39% 36% C 2.62
Crewe vs BarnetLeague TwoC League Two BarnetOur prob 45%Best odds 2.15 +1% 45% 44% C 2.15
Tranmere vs CheltenhamLeague TwoC League Two TranmereOur prob 49%Best odds 1.91 -1% 49% 50% C 1.91
Salford City vs Exeter CityLeague TwoC League Two Salford CityOur prob 52%Best odds 1.67 -4% 52% 57% C 1.67

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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League Two table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

League Two table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Salford City 13 913 2314 +9 28
2 Barnet 11 641 2416 +8 22
3 Cheltenham 13 634 2222 0 21
4 Crewe 13 562 1616 0 21
5 York 12 552 2113 +8 20
6 Walsall 12 471 1811 +7 19
7 Chesterfield 13 544 2317 +6 19
8 Exeter City 13 544 107 +3 19
9 Accrington ST 13 463 2216 +6 18
10 Shrewsbury 13 535 1620 -4 18
11 Grimsby 13 454 1916 +3 17
12 Gillingham 13 454 1818 0 17
13 Tranmere 13 373 1616 0 16
14 Swindon Town 13 445 1316 -3 16
15 Bristol Rovers 13 517 1620 -4 16
16 Newport County 13 364 1616 0 15
17 Rochdale 13 436 1522 -7 15
18 Fleetwood Town 13 355 1517 -2 14
19 Northampton 11 344 88 0 13
20 Oldham 12 336 1418 -4 12
21 Colchester 12 264 1116 -5 12
22 Rotherham 13 265 1723 -6 12
23 Port Vale 11 335 612 -6 12
24 Crawley Town 11 137 1221 -9 6

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

League Two trends

How League Two matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 150 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 47% 70 of 150 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (557)
Away wins 19% 28 of 150 matches -15 pts vs 2025/26 (557)
Over 2.5 goals 45% 67 of 150 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (557)
Both teams scored 55% 83 of 150 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (557)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (557 played matches).

Top League Two teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#3
Net rating
+0.48
Attack
1.91
Defence
1.44
Form NextYork (H) · 27 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in League Two

From the League Two scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • K. TshimangaBarnet 9 G 5 A
  • A. DrinanSwindon Town 8 G 1 A
  • C. McCannCheltenham 8 G 1 A
  • P. MullinRotherham 8 G 0 A
  • J. WoodsAccrington ST 7 G 1 A
  • A. PressleyWalsall 7 G 0 A
  • O. PearceYork 6 G 4 A
  • C. LakinBarnet 6 G 3 A

Recent League Two results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent League Two results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Walsall vs Salford CityOur pick Salford City · 40% Salford City to win 40% 2–4 Correct
York vs Port ValeOur pick York · 49% York to win 49% 2–0 Correct
Barnet vs OldhamOur pick Barnet · 58% Barnet to win 58% 1–1 Missed
Exeter City vs Fleetwood TownOur pick Exeter City · 39% Exeter City to win 39% 2–1 Correct
Crawley Town vs TranmereOur pick Tranmere · 37% Tranmere to win 37% 1–1 Missed
Gillingham vs GrimsbyOur pick Grimsby · 39% Grimsby to win 39% 1–4 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.