Upcoming League Two fixtures
12 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 48 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldham vs Accrington STLeague TwoC | League Two | OldhamOur prob 52%Best odds 1.62 | -25% | 33% | 59% | C | 1.62 |
| Swindon Town vs CreweLeague TwoC | League Two | CreweOur prob 38%Best odds 2.65 | +10% | 46% | 36% | C | 2.65 |
| Rotherham vs GillinghamLeague TwoC | League Two | RotherhamOur prob 47%Best odds 1.85 | -13% | 37% | 50% | C | 1.85 |
| Bristol Rovers vs BarnetLeague TwoC | League Two | Bristol RoversOur prob 40%Best odds 2.19 | -13% | 30% | 43% | C | 2.19 |
| Fleetwood Town vs WalsallLeague TwoC | League Two | Fleetwood TownOur prob 41%Best odds 2.22 | -8% | 35% | 43% | C | 2.22 |
| Port Vale vs GrimsbyLeague TwoC | League Two | GrimsbyOur prob 38%Best odds 2.75 | +15% | 49% | 34% | C | 2.75 |
| Shrewsbury vs Exeter CityLeague TwoC | League Two | ShrewsburyOur prob 39%Best odds 2.28 | -8% | 33% | 41% | C | 2.28 |
| Crawley Town vs ChesterfieldLeague TwoC | League Two | ChesterfieldOur prob 54%Best odds 1.73 | -3% | 51% | 54% | C | 1.73 |
| Newport County vs ColchesterLeague TwoC | League Two | Newport CountyOur prob 38%Best odds 2.70 | +7% | 43% | 36% | C | 2.70 |
| Cheltenham vs Salford CityLeague TwoC | League Two | Salford CityOur prob 49%Best odds 1.84 | -7% | 44% | 51% | C | 1.84 |
| Tranmere vs RochdaleLeague TwoC | League Two | TranmereOur prob 44%Best odds 2.00 | -10% | 37% | 47% | C | 2.00 |
| York vs NorthamptonLeague TwoC | League Two | YorkOur prob 59%Best odds 1.70 | +13% | 68% | 56% | C | 1.70 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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League Two table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 16 | ||
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 15 | ||
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 15 | ||
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 | ||
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | ||
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 14 | ||
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 14 | ||
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 9 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 13 | ||
| 10 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 13 | ||
| 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 12 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 11 | ||
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 11 | ||
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 11 | ||
| 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 | ||
| 16 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 17 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 | ||
| 19 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | ||
| 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 | ||
| 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | ||
| 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 6 | ||
| 23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 5 | ||
| 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
League Two trends
How League Two matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 102 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (557 played matches).
Top League Two teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.79
- Attack
- 2.22
- Defence
- 1.43
- Net rating
- +0.41
- Attack
- 1.75
- Defence
- 1.34
- Net rating
- +0.34
- Attack
- 1.45
- Defence
- 1.11
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in League Two
From the League Two scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- C. McCannCheltenham 7 G 0 A
- C. LakinBarnet 6 G 2 A
- A. NewbyYork 6 G 1 A
- C. CatonAccrington ST 5 G 0 A
- A. DrinanSwindon Town 5 G 0 A
- S. GwengweNewport County 5 G 0 A
- K. TshimangaBarnet 4 G 4 A
- C. KavanaghOldham 4 G 3 A
Recent League Two results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale vs Swindon TownOur pick Rochdale · 45% | Rochdale to win | 45% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Gillingham vs Newport CountyOur pick Gillingham · 44% | Gillingham to win | 44% | 0–0 | Missed | |
| Accrington ST vs CheltenhamOur pick Accrington ST · 39% | Accrington ST to win | 39% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Crewe vs Bristol RoversOur pick Bristol Rovers · 40% | Bristol Rovers to win | 40% | 3–1 | Missed | |
| Exeter City vs RotherhamOur pick Exeter City · 36% | Exeter City to win | 36% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Grimsby vs ShrewsburyOur pick Grimsby · 58% | Grimsby to win | 58% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.