Upcoming Liga MX fixtures
10 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 19 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America vs Club TijuanaLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club AmericaOur prob 67%Best odds 1.61 | -2% | 67% | 69% | C | 1.61 |
| FC Juarez vs Club QueretaroLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club QueretaroOur prob 41% | — | 41% | — | C | — |
| Atletico San Luis vs AtlasLiga MXC | Liga MX | Atletico San LuisOur prob 50% | — | 50% | — | C | — |
| Puebla vs U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MXC | Liga MX | PueblaOur prob 40% | — | 40% | — | C | — |
| CF Pachuca vs Tigres UANLLiga MXC | Liga MX | CF PachucaOur prob 46% | — | 46% | — | C | — |
| Monterrey vs Club TijuanaLiga MXC | Liga MX | MonterreyOur prob 48% | — | 48% | — | C | — |
| Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante FCLiga MXC | Liga MX | Guadalajara ChivasOur prob 63%Best odds 1.47 | 0% | 63% | 64% | C | 1.47 |
| Club America vs TolucaLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club AmericaOur prob 52% | — | 52% | — | C | — |
| Santos Laguna vs NecaxaLiga MXC | Liga MX | Santos LagunaOur prob 69% | — | 69% | — | C | — |
| Cruz Azul vs LeonLiga MXC | Liga MX | Cruz AzulOur prob 56% | — | 56% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Liga MX table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America |
13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 | 18 | +15 | 27 | |
| 2 |  Cruz Azul |
14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 23 | +9 | 26 | |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 26 | |
| 4 |  Atlas |
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 24 | |
| 5 |  Toluca |
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 19 | +10 | 23 | |
| 6 |  Leon |
14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 22 | |
| 7 |  Monterrey |
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 18 | +5 | 20 | |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | +4 | 20 | |
| 9 |  Club Queretaro |
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 20 | |
| 10 |  Santos Laguna |
14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 | |
| 11 |  Atletico San Luis |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 19 | |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 17 | |
| 13 |  CF Pachuca |
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 16 | |
| 14 |  Puebla |
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 | |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL |
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 | |
| 16 |  Atlante FC |
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 14 | |
| 17 |  Necaxa |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 | |
| 18 |  FC Juarez |
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 5 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Liga MX trends
How Liga MX matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 124 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (337 played matches).
Top Liga MX teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.67
- Attack
- 2.15
- Defence
- 1.48
- Net rating
- +0.63
- Attack
- 2.30
- Defence
- 1.66
- Net rating
- +0.49
- Attack
- 1.45
- Defence
- 0.96
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Liga MX
From the Liga MX scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- S. RondónCF Pachuca 13 G 1 A
- J. BrunettaTigres UANL 8 G 4 A
- H. MartínClub America 8 G 3 A
- JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 8 G 1 A
- J. CarranzaNecaxa 7 G 2 A
- F. ViñasToluca 7 G 0 A
- L. OcamposMonterrey 6 G 3 A
- Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6 G 0 A
Recent Liga MX results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana vs Santos LagunaOur pick Club Tijuana · 41% | Club Tijuana to win | 41% | 4–1 | Correct | |
| Club America vs CF PachucaOur pick Club America · 62% | Club America to win | 62% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Club Queretaro vs Cruz AzulOur pick Cruz Azul · 47% | Cruz Azul to win | 47% | 1–3 | Correct | |
| Atlas vs PueblaOur pick Atlas · 57% | Atlas to win | 57% | 4–3 | Correct | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Tigres UANLOur pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas · 37% | U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win | 37% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Monterrey vs Guadalajara ChivasOur pick Monterrey · 39% | Monterrey to win | 39% | 0–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.