Upcoming Liga MX fixtures
9 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 51 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro vs Atlante FCLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club QueretaroOur prob 49%Best odds 2.09 | +10% | 56% | 46% | C | 2.09 |
| Puebla vs LeonLiga MXC | Liga MX | LeonOur prob 41%Best odds 2.46 | +5% | 45% | 40% | C | 2.46 |
| Tigres UANL vs TolucaLiga MXC | Liga MX | TolucaOur prob 42%Best odds 2.36 | +5% | 45% | 41% | C | 2.36 |
| FC Juarez vs Club TijuanaLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club TijuanaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.36 | +1% | 42% | 41% | C | 2.36 |
| Atlas vs Guadalajara ChivasLiga MXC | Liga MX | Guadalajara ChivasOur prob 43%Best odds 2.22 | 0% | 43% | 43% | C | 2.22 |
| Club America vs MonterreyLiga MXC | Liga MX | Club AmericaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.85 | +14% | 65% | 51% | C | 1.85 |
| CF Pachuca vs NecaxaLiga MXC | Liga MX | CF PachucaOur prob 58%Best odds 1.70 | +10% | 66% | 56% | C | 1.70 |
| Atletico San Luis vs Santos LagunaLiga MXC | Liga MX | Atletico San LuisOur prob 47%Best odds 1.98 | -6% | 43% | 48% | C | 1.98 |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz AzulLiga MXC | Liga MX | Cruz AzulOur prob 44%Best odds 2.09 | -5% | 40% | 45% | C | 2.09 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Liga MX table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Toluca |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +11 | 20 | |
| 2 |  Club America |
9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 20 | |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 18 | |
| 4 |  Club Queretaro |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 17 | |
| 5 |  Leon |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 17 | |
| 6 |  Atlas |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 | |
| 7 |  Cruz Azul |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 16 | |
| 8 |  Club Tijuana |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 14 | |
| 9 |  Puebla |
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 | |
| 10 |  Monterrey |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 13 | |
| 11 |  CF Pachuca |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 12 | |
| 12 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | |
| 13 |  Atletico San Luis |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 | |
| 14 |  Atlante FC |
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | |
| 15 |  Tigres UANL |
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 | |
| 16 |  Santos Laguna |
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | |
| 17 |  Necaxa |
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 | |
| 18 |  FC Juarez |
10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 3 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Liga MX trends
How Liga MX matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 88 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (337 played matches).
Top Liga MX teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.91
- Attack
- 2.12
- Defence
- 1.21
- Net rating
- +0.65
- Attack
- 2.04
- Defence
- 1.39
- Net rating
- +0.42
- Attack
- 1.62
- Defence
- 1.20
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Top scorers in Liga MX
From the Liga MX scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.
- S. RondónCF Pachuca 10 G 0 A
- J. CarranzaNecaxa 6 G 2 A
- H. MartínClub America 6 G 2 A
- Ó. EstupiñánFC Juarez 6 G 0 A
- L. OcamposMonterrey 5 G 1 A
- G. MoraClub Tijuana 5 G 1 A
- JuninhoU.N.A.M. - Pumas 5 G 0 A
- J. BrunettaTigres UANL 4 G 4 A
Recent Liga MX results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Necaxa vs Club AmericaOur pick Club America · 49% | Club America to win | 49% | 2–4 | Correct | |
| Leon vs FC JuarezOur pick Leon · 63% | Leon to win | 63% | 2–1 | Correct | |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San LuisOur pick U.N.A.M. - Pumas · 47% | U.N.A.M. - Pumas to win | 47% | 2–3 | Missed | |
| Tigres UANL vs PueblaOur pick Tigres UANL · 57% | Tigres UANL to win | 57% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Santos Laguna vs CF PachucaOur pick CF Pachuca · 43% | CF Pachuca to win | 43% | 1–0 | Missed | |
| Guadalajara Chivas vs Club QueretaroOur pick Guadalajara Chivas · 60% | Guadalajara Chivas to win | 60% | 0–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.