Updated

Leagues Cup · Mexico · 2026/27

Toluca Football Match Predictions 2026

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every Toluca fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Current rank5th 23 pts · full tableForm · last 5

Next fixture · Liga MX

Toluca at Club America Away

Win probability28%Toluca to win
TolucaDrawClub America
Our pick
Club America to win C
Goals scored / match 2.07 29 in 14 matches, 2026/27
Goals conceded / match 1.36 19 in 14 matches, 2026/27
Clean sheets 4 in 14 matches, 2026/27

Toluca season performance

2026/27 league season, 14 matches played. Straight tallies of Toluca results, three points for a win.

Full Leagues Cup table
Matches 14 6W · 5D · 3L
Points 23 of 42 available
Win rate 43% 6 wins in 14
Points per match 1.64 goal difference +10

Goals scored

by month · 14 league matches, 2026/27

Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.

Goals conceded

by month · 14 league matches, 2026/27

Month · matches played that month. Both charts share one scale.

Toluca league position trend

Place in the 2026/27 table after each of 14 league matches, recomputed from results.

2026-07-19 at Guadalajara Chivas: 3rd, 3 pts2026-07-22 vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: 6th, 3 pts2026-08-03 vs Necaxa: 3rd, 6 pts2026-08-15 at Atlante FC: 2nd, 7 pts2026-08-22 at Club Queretaro: 2nd, 10 pts2026-08-31 vs FC Juarez: 2nd, 13 pts2026-09-12 vs Atlas: 1st, 16 pts2026-09-16 at Puebla: 1st, 19 pts2026-09-21 vs Santos Laguna: 1st, 19 pts2026-09-26 at Cruz Azul: 1st, 20 pts2026-10-10 at Tigres UANL: 2nd, 20 pts2026-10-18 vs Atletico San Luis: 2nd, 21 pts2026-10-22 vs Club Tijuana: 3rd, 22 pts2026-10-24 at Leon: 2nd, 23 pts
After 19 July 2026 3rdAfter 24 October 2026 2nd · 23 pts

Ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored — from played results, not an imported table. Every point is the table as it stood on that date, when other clubs may have played fewer matches, so the last point can read differently from the current table at the top of this page. Hover a point for the match.

Toluca fixtures

Next 3 scheduled — a prediction page appears once a fixture enters our publication window.

Upcoming Toluca fixtures with our pick where published
DateMatchOur pickOur probBest odds
at Club America (A) Club AmericaOur prob 52% 52% —
vs Monterrey (H) TolucaOur prob 53% 53% —
at CF Pachuca (A) not yet published — —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded). Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Near Toluca in the Liga MX table

Toluca cup run

Leagues Cup
Date · roundOpponentResult
6 August 2026
Group Stage
vs Seattle Sounders 3–0 win
9 August 2026
Group Stage
vs Los Angeles FC 0–1 loss
13 August 2026
Group Stage
vs FC Dallas 3–1 win
27 August 2026
Quarter-finals
vs Austin 2–0 win
3 September 2026
Semi-finals
vs Leon 2–0 win
7 September 2026
Final
vs Monterrey 2–0 win

Toluca recent results & predictions

Last 3 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Toluca results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
at Leon (A)Our pick Toluca · 44% Toluca to win 44% 1–1 Missed
vs Club Tijuana (H)Our pick Toluca · 69% Toluca to win 69% 2–2 Missed
vs Atletico San Luis (H)Our pick Toluca · 72% Toluca to win 72% 1–1 Missed

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result. Scores are Toluca’s goals first; H/A = home/away.

Toluca home vs away, 2026/27

Toluca at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Win rate
43%
Goals for / match
2.57
Goals against / match
1.57
Clean sheets
1 of 7

Toluca away

Record (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Win rate
43%
Goals for / match
1.57
Goals against / match
1.14
Clean sheets
3 of 7

League matches this season only: Toluca at home in the left column, away in the right.

Toluca top players

  • F. ViñasAttacker 7 G 0 A
  • HelinhoAttacker 4 G 6 A
  • A. VegaMidfielder 4 G 2 A
  • N. CastroMidfielder 0 G 3 A