Updated

Flag of Mexico

North America · 2026/27 season

Mexico football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Mexico — 2 competitions, 34 clubs, 189 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 2 covered in Mexico
Teams 34 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 236 of 273 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 37 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Mexico

1 fixture on 29 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Mexico with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Club America vs Club TijuanaLiga MXC Liga MX Club AmericaOur prob 67%Best odds 1.61 -2% 67% 69% C 1.61

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Mexico — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Mexico’s covered competitions: 236 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 100 of 236 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (577)
Away wins 33% 79 of 236 matches +8 pts vs 2025/26 (577)
Over 2.5 goals 58% 137 of 236 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (577)
Both teams scored 61% 143 of 236 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (577)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (577 played matches).

Competitions in Mexico

2 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Mexico by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Liga de Expansión MX
#1
Net rating
+0.88
Attack
2.07
Defence
1.19
Form NextTapatío (H) · 1 Nov
Liga de Expansión MX
#2
Net rating
+0.80
Attack
2.19
Defence
1.39
Form NextDorados (H) · 31 Oct
Liga MX
#3
Net rating
+0.67
Attack
2.15
Defence
1.48
Form NextLeon (H) · 2 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Mexico

What happened next to what we predicted

Liga MX
Liga de Expansión MX