Upcoming Northern Ireland Premiership fixtures
7 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 53 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne vs Limavady UnitedNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LarneOur prob 71%Best odds 1.34 | -5% | 71% | 76% | C | 1.34 |
| Coleraine FC vs GlentoranNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Coleraine FCOur prob 52%Best odds 1.78 | -1% | 52% | 52% | C | 1.78 |
| Larne vs PortadownNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LarneOur prob 60% | — | 60% | — | C | — |
| Linfield vs Dungannon SwiftsNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LinfieldOur prob 62%Best odds 1.53 | +1% | 62% | 61% | C | 1.53 |
| Ballymena United vs BangorNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Ballymena UnitedOur prob 58%Best odds 1.65 | +1% | 58% | 57% | C | 1.65 |
| Cliftonville FC vs Carrick RangersNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Cliftonville FCOur prob 42%Best odds 2.08 | -2% | 42% | 44% | C | 2.08 |
| Limavady United vs Crusaders FCNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Limavady UnitedOur prob 55% | — | 55% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Northern Ireland Premiership table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coleraine FC |
13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 12 | +19 | 34 | |
| 2 |  Linfield |
13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 32 | |
| 3 |  Larne |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 22 | |
| 4 |  Glentoran |
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 20 | |
| 5 |  Carrick Rangers |
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Ballymena United |
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 | |
| 7 |  Cliftonville FC |
13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 | |
| 8 |  Crusaders FC |
13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 15 | |
| 9 |  Dungannon Swifts |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 14 | |
| 10 |  Limavady United |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 | |
| 11 |  Portadown |
13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 8 | |
| 12 |  Bangor |
13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 6 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Northern Ireland Premiership trends
How Northern Ireland Premiership matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 74 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (233 played matches).
Top Northern Ireland Premiership teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.90
- Attack
- 2.14
- Defence
- 1.24
- Net rating
- +0.62
- Attack
- 1.60
- Defence
- 0.99
- Net rating
- +0.44
- Attack
- 1.74
- Defence
- 1.29
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Northern Ireland Premiership results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor vs LarneOur pick Larne · 66% | Larne to win | 66% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| Dungannon Swifts vs Cliftonville FCOur pick Dungannon Swifts · 41% | Dungannon Swifts to win | 41% | 1–3 | Missed | |
| Carrick Rangers vs Limavady UnitedOur pick Carrick Rangers · 58% | Carrick Rangers to win | 58% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Crusaders FC vs Coleraine FCOur pick Coleraine FC · 70% | Coleraine FC to win | 70% | 0–5 | Correct | |
| Portadown vs LinfieldOur pick Linfield · 62% | Linfield to win | 62% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| Larne vs LinfieldOur pick Larne · 45% | Larne to win | 45% | 1–2 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.