Upcoming Northern Ireland Premiership fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portadown vs GlentoranNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | GlentoranOur prob 57%Best odds 1.57 | -6% | 53% | 59% | C | 1.57 |
| Linfield vs BangorNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LinfieldOur prob 72%Best odds 1.24 | -10% | 65% | 75% | C | 1.24 |
| Coleraine FC vs Cliftonville FCNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Coleraine FCOur prob 66%Best odds 1.40 | -6% | 61% | 67% | C | 1.40 |
| Crusaders FC vs LarneNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | LarneOur prob 64%Best odds 1.37 | -19% | 49% | 68% | C | 1.37 |
| Dungannon Swifts vs Carrick RangersNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Dungannon SwiftsOur prob 38%Best odds 2.31 | -12% | 29% | 41% | C | 2.31 |
| Limavady United vs Ballymena UnitedNorthern Ireland PremiershipC | Northern Ireland Premiership | Ballymena UnitedOur prob 46%Best odds 1.96 | -6% | 42% | 47% | C | 1.96 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Northern Ireland Premiership table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coleraine FC |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Linfield |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 22 | |
| 3 |  Larne |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 16 | |
| 4 |  Glentoran |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5 |  Crusaders FC |
10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 15 | |
| 6 |  Carrick Rangers |
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 13 | |
| 7 |  Dungannon Swifts |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 |  Ballymena United |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 12 | |
| 9 |  Cliftonville FC |
10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 | |
| 10 |  Limavady United |
9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 | |
| 11 |  Bangor |
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 | |
| 12 |  Portadown |
10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Northern Ireland Premiership trends
How Northern Ireland Premiership matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 56 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (233 played matches).
Top Northern Ireland Premiership teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.63
- Attack
- 2.07
- Defence
- 1.43
- Net rating
- +0.57
- Attack
- 1.74
- Defence
- 1.17
- Net rating
- +0.37
- Attack
- 1.38
- Defence
- 1.00
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Northern Ireland Premiership results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor vs Coleraine FCOur pick Coleraine FC · 73% | Coleraine FC to win | 73% | 2–3 | Correct | |
| Cliftonville FC vs Ballymena UnitedOur pick Cliftonville FC · 40% | Cliftonville FC to win | 40% | 0–1 | Missed | |
| Portadown vs Limavady UnitedOur pick Limavady United · 42% | Limavady United to win | 42% | 3–1 | Missed | |
| Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders FCOur pick Carrick Rangers · 52% | Carrick Rangers to win | 52% | 4–0 | Correct | |
| Glentoran vs Dungannon SwiftsOur pick Glentoran · 54% | Glentoran to win | 54% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Ballymena United vs PortadownOur pick Ballymena United · 56% | Ballymena United to win | 56% | 2–0 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.