Upcoming Scotland Championship fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenhousemuir vs DunfermlineScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | DunfermlineOur prob 41%Best odds 2.06 | -4% | 41% | 46% | C | 2.06 |
| Stenhousemuir vs LivingstonScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | LivingstonOur prob 46%Best odds 1.78 | -6% | 46% | 52% | C | 1.78 |
| Partick vs MortonScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | PartickOur prob 75%Best odds 1.24 | -2% | 75% | 77% | C | 1.24 |
| Ayr Utd vs Queen's ParkScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | Ayr UtdOur prob 51%Best odds 1.80 | 0% | 51% | 51% | C | 1.80 |
| Dunfermline vs Inverness CTScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | DunfermlineOur prob 39%Best odds 2.20 | -3% | 39% | 42% | C | 2.20 |
| Arbroath vs Raith RoversScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | Raith RoversOur prob 51%Best odds 1.91 | +1% | 51% | 50% | C | 1.91 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Scotland Championship table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Partick |
12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 4 | +11 | 25 | |
| 2 |  Stenhousemuir |
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 23 | |
| 3 |  Raith Rovers |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 21 | |
| 4 |  Inverness CT |
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 19 | |
| 5 |  Dunfermline |
11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 18 | |
| 6 |  Livingston |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 17 | |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 | |
| 8 |  Arbroath |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 11 | |
| 9 |  Morton |
11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 | |
| 10 |  Queen's Park |
12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Scotland Championship trends
How Scotland Championship matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 58 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (186 played matches).
Top Scotland Championship teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.70
- Attack
- 1.30
- Defence
- 0.60
- Net rating
- +0.45
- Attack
- 1.37
- Defence
- 0.92
- Net rating
- +0.22
- Attack
- 1.23
- Defence
- 1.00
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Scotland Championship results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen's Park vs DunfermlineOur pick Dunfermline · 56% | Dunfermline to win | 56% | 0–1 | Correct | |
| Raith Rovers vs Inverness CTOur pick Raith Rovers · 40% | Raith Rovers to win | 40% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| Partick vs StenhousemuirOur pick Partick · 57% | Partick to win | 57% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Livingston vs ArbroathOur pick Livingston · 66% | Livingston to win | 66% | 1–0 | Correct | |
| Dunfermline vs PartickOur pick Partick · 37% | Partick to win | 37% | 1–1 | Missed | |
| Stenhousemuir vs Raith RoversOur pick Raith Rovers · 38% | Raith Rovers to win | 38% | 1–1 | Missed |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.