Upcoming Scotland Championship fixtures
6 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 54 more scheduled later this season.
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston vs PartickScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | LivingstonOur prob 37%Best odds 2.42 | -13% | 27% | 40% | C | 2.42 |
| Inverness CT vs StenhousemuirScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | Inverness CTOur prob 44%Best odds 1.77 | -33% | 19% | 52% | C | 1.77 |
| Raith Rovers vs Queen's ParkScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | Raith RoversOur prob 63%Best odds 1.50 | +9% | 70% | 61% | C | 1.50 |
| Ayr Utd vs DunfermlineScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | DunfermlineOur prob 39%Best odds 2.30 | -7% | 34% | 41% | C | 2.30 |
| Arbroath vs MortonScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | ArbroathOur prob 50%Best odds 1.81 | -7% | 45% | 52% | C | 1.81 |
| Queen's Park vs Inverness CTScotland ChampionshipC | Scotland Championship | Inverness CTOur prob 54%Best odds 1.67 | -7% | 49% | 56% | C | 1.67 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
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Scotland Championship table
2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Stenhousemuir |
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | +10 | 22 | |
| 2 |  Raith Rovers |
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 | |
| 3 |  Partick |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 15 | |
| 4 |  Livingston |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | |
| 5 |  Dunfermline |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 | |
| 6 |  Ayr Utd |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 | |
| 7 |  Arbroath |
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 11 | |
| 8 |  Inverness CT |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 |  Queen's Park |
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | |
| 10 |  Morton |
9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 1 |
P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.
Scotland Championship trends
How Scotland Championship matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 42 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (186 played matches).
Top Scotland Championship teams by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.80
- Attack
- 1.42
- Defence
- 0.62
- Net rating
- +0.50
- Attack
- 1.44
- Defence
- 0.95
- Net rating
- +0.41
- Attack
- 1.05
- Defence
- 0.64
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent Scotland Championship results
Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.
| Date | Match | Our pick | Our prob | Score | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livingston vs Ayr UtdOur pick Livingston · 58% | Livingston to win | 58% | 1–2 | Missed | |
| Partick vs ArbroathOur pick Partick · 61% | Partick to win | 61% | 3–0 | Correct | |
| Morton vs Raith RoversOur pick Raith Rovers · 60% | Raith Rovers to win | 60% | 1–2 | Correct | |
| Inverness CT vs MortonOur pick Inverness CT · 67% | Inverness CT to win | 67% | 2–0 | Correct | |
| Raith Rovers vs LivingstonOur pick Raith Rovers · 44% | Raith Rovers to win | 44% | 0–2 | Missed | |
| Ayr Utd vs StenhousemuirOur pick Stenhousemuir · 36% | Stenhousemuir to win | 36% | 0–1 | Correct |
Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.