Updated

Ukraine · 2026/27 season

Ukraine Premier League Football Predictions

Polessya leads the Ukraine Premier League with 25 points after 76 matches this season. The league averages 2.39 goals per match, with 51% of matches going over 2.5 goals and 43% seeing both teams score. These trends could change based on team performance and match conditions.

Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 76 of 240 scheduled this season
Prediction pages 8 fixtures in our publication window
Fixtures predicted 71 so far this season

Upcoming Ukraine Premier League fixtures

8 fixtures in our publication window — every row opens the full prediction; 52 more scheduled later this season.

Ukraine Premier League fixtures in our publication window with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Zorya Luhansk vs Epitsentr DunayivtsiUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League Zorya LuhanskOur prob 48% — 48% — C —
Karpaty vs KudrivkaUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League KarpatyOur prob 63% — 63% — C —
Kolos Kovalivka vs PolessyaUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League PolessyaOur prob 53% — 53% — C —
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-BrovarUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar DonetskOur prob 73% — 73% — C —
Kryvbas KR vs Dynamo KyivUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League Dynamo KyivOur prob 46% — 46% — C —
Veres Rivne vs ChornomoretsUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League Veres RivneOur prob 42%Best odds 1.91 -6% 42% 48% C 1.91
LNZ Cherkasy vs FC KharkivUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League FC KharkivOur prob 41% — 41% — C —
Livyi Bereh vs BukovynaUkraine Premier LeagueC Ukraine Premier League BukovynaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.20 -3% 39% 42% C 2.20

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

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Ukraine Premier League table

2026/27 season · computed from played results — ranked by points, then goal difference, then goals scored. Form: last five, newest first.

Ukraine Premier League table from played results
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Polessya 10 811 238 +15 25
2 Shakhtar Donetsk 10 811 205 +15 25
3 FC Kharkiv 9 702 187 +11 21
4 Dynamo Kyiv 9 612 149 +5 19
5 Karpaty 10 442 178 +9 16
6 LNZ Cherkasy 10 433 109 +1 15
7 Zorya Luhansk 10 433 1213 -1 15
8 Kolos Kovalivka 9 324 1213 -1 11
9 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 10 235 1014 -4 9
10 Bukovyna 10 163 712 -5 9
11 Veres Rivne 10 235 613 -7 9
12 Livyi Bereh 9 153 68 -2 8
13 Obolon'-Brovar 9 144 415 -11 7
14 Kryvbas KR 8 134 713 -6 6
15 Chornomorets 9 135 511 -6 6
16 Kudrivka 10 127 1124 -13 5

P = played, GD = goal difference, Pts = points. Not an imported table: it is rebuilt from the results in our database, so it may lag the official one by a match.

Ukraine Premier League trends

How Ukraine Premier League matches actually ended in the 2026/27: 76 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 32 of 76 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (243)
Away wins 29% 22 of 76 matches -6 pts vs 2025/26 (243)
Over 2.5 goals 51% 39 of 76 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (243)
Both teams scored 43% 33 of 76 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (243)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (243 played matches).

Top Ukraine Premier League teams by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Top scorers in Ukraine Premier League

From the Ukraine Premier League scoring charts this season — goals first, then assists. Not a full squad list.

  • I. KrasnopirPolessya 7 G 0 A
  • M. PonomarenkoDynamo Kyiv 5 G 0 A
  • A. KozakEpitsentr Dunayivtsi 3 G 3 A
  • B. ZabërgjaFC Kharkiv 3 G 2 A
  • R. GadzhievFC Kharkiv 3 G 1 A
  • O. DemchenkoKolos Kovalivka 3 G 1 A
  • D. NdukweKolos Kovalivka 3 G 0 A
  • V. VeletenPolessya 3 G 0 A

Recent Ukraine Premier League results

Last 6 played — what we predicted and what happened.

Recent Ukraine Premier League results with our pre-match pick
DateMatchOur pickOur probScorePick
Bukovyna vs Kryvbas KROur pick Bukovyna · 54% Bukovyna to win 54% 0–0 Missed
Chornomorets vs KarpatyOur pick Karpaty · 60% Karpaty to win 60% 0–0 Missed
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya LuhanskOur pick Shakhtar Donetsk · 65% Shakhtar Donetsk to win 65% 0–0 Missed
Livyi Bereh vs LNZ CherkasyOur pick LNZ Cherkasy · 44% LNZ Cherkasy to win 44% 0–0 Missed
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs FC KharkivOur pick FC Kharkiv · 58% FC Kharkiv to win 58% 1–2 Correct
Veres Rivne vs Kolos KovalivkaOur pick Kolos Kovalivka · 44% Kolos Kovalivka to win 44% 0–2 Correct

Our pick = the 1X2 selection we published before kick-off, with the probability we gave it; Correct/Missed compares that pick with the final result.