Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya preview
Kolos Kovalivka faces Polessya with 22% chances for a home win, while Polessya has a 53% likelihood of winning. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, reflecting Polessya's stronger recent form, winning 6 of their last 6 matches. Kolos Kovalivka's recent record shows 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 6 games.
The model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 58%. Kolos Kovalivka's expected goals stand at 1.14, while Polessya's is higher at 1.84. A low-scoring match or a draw could contradict the predictions, especially given the confidence grade of C.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya: model vs market
| Source | Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Polessya |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Kolos Kovalivka and Polessya expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.00
- Attack rating (Kolos Kovalivka / Polessya)
- 1.10 / 1.57
- Defence rating (Kolos Kovalivka / Polessya)
- 0.98 / 0.79
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kolos Kovalivka goals. Columns: Polessya goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolos Kovalivka | 22% | 4.48 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Polessya | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kolos Kovalivka or draw) | 47% | 2.12 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Polessya) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Polessya win by 2+ | 31% | 3.26 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Kolos Kovalivka and Polessya recent form
Kolos Kovalivka
3W 1D 2L
Polessya
5W 1D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kolos Kovalivka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Polessya away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Kolos Kovalivka at home only, Polessya away only.
Kolos Kovalivka vs Polessya head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kolos Kovalivka 1 · draws 0 · Polessya 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0-2 | Polessya | Ukraine Premier League |
| 2025-08-10 | Polessya | 0-1 | Kolos Kovalivka | Ukraine Premier League |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
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- Karpaty v Kudrivka — match page 2026-10-31
- Shakhtar Donetsk vs Obolon'-Brovar 2026-10-31
- Kryvbas KR v Dynamo Kyiv — match page 2026-10-31
- Veres Rivne vs Chornomorets — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- LNZ Cherkasy vs FC Kharkiv 2026-10-31
- Livyi Bereh v Bukovyna — match page 2026-10-31
Before and after this match
- Kolos Kovalivka, previous: Veres Rivne – Kolos Kovalivka, 2026-10-23
- Polessya, previous: Polessya vs Obolon'-Brovar prediction