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South America · 2026/27 season

Argentina football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Argentina — 3 competitions, 81 clubs, 291 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 3 covered in Argentina
Teams 81 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 1055 of 1205 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window
Model accuracy 48% last 30 days · 126 settled 1X2 picks

Next fixtures in Argentina

3 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Argentina with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina AldosiviOur prob 39%Best odds 2.57 +6% 43% 37% C 2.57
Gimnasia L.P. vs Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina Gimnasia L.P.Our prob 45%Best odds 2.10 -6% 40% 46% C 2.10
Instituto Cordoba vs Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional ArgentinaC Liga Profesional Argentina Boca JuniorsOur prob 36%Best odds 2.60 -3% 34% 37% C 2.60

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Argentina — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Argentina’s covered competitions: 1055 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 46% 488 of 1055 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (1206)
Away wins 24% 248 of 1055 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (1206)
Over 2.5 goals 35% 373 of 1055 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (1206)
Both teams scored 42% 446 of 1055 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (1206)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (1206 played matches).

Competitions in Argentina

3 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Argentina by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Primera Nacional
#4
Net rating
+0.57
Attack
1.34
Defence
0.77
Form NextNueva Chicago (H) · 11 Oct
Primera Nacional
#5
Net rating
+0.53
Attack
1.54
Defence
1.01
Form NextAll Boys (A) · 12 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Argentina

What happened next to what we predicted