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Europe · 2026/27 season

Croatia football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Croatia — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 34 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Croatia
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 39 of 180 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Croatia

1 fixture on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Croatia with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
HNK Gorica vs RudesHNLC HNL HNK GoricaOur prob 56%Best odds 1.62 -8% 50% 58% C 1.62

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Croatia — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Croatia’s covered competitions: 39 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 62% 24 of 39 matches +16 pts vs 2025/26 (180)
Away wins 18% 7 of 39 matches -10 pts vs 2025/26 (180)
Over 2.5 goals 64% 25 of 39 matches +15 pts vs 2025/26 (180)
Both teams scored 51% 20 of 39 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (180)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (180 played matches).

Competitions in Croatia

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Croatia by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Croatia

What happened next to what we predicted

HNL
  • Dinamo Zagreb vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2
  • HNK Rijeka vs HNK Hajduk Split3–0
  • Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica0–1
  • NK Varazdin vs NK Osijek0–0
  • Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo2–2
  • HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin2–2