Next fixtures in Ecuador
2 fixtures on 9 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad vs Leones del NorteLiga ProC | Liga Pro | LibertadOur prob 40%Best odds 2.51 | +11% | 49% | 38% | C | 2.51 |
| Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SCLiga ProC | Liga Pro | Delfin SCOur prob 37%Best odds 2.40 | -6% | 33% | 39% | C | 2.40 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Ecuador — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Ecuador’s covered competitions: 247 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (311 played matches).
Competitions in Ecuador
1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.
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Ecuador · league- Teams
- 16
- Played
- 247 of 312
- Upcoming
- 60
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.
Top teams in Ecuador by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.53
- Attack
- 1.85
- Defence
- 1.31
- Net rating
- +0.52
- Attack
- 1.61
- Defence
- 1.09
- Net rating
- +0.31
- Attack
- 1.33
- Defence
- 1.02
- Net rating
- +0.30
- Attack
- 1.54
- Defence
- 1.25
- Net rating
- +0.13
- Attack
- 1.45
- Defence
- 1.32
- Net rating
- +0.13
- Attack
- 1.23
- Defence
- 1.10
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Ecuador
What happened next to what we predicted
- Manta FC vs Orense SC2–1
- LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica2–1
- Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC1–1
- Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC1–1
- Emelec vs Libertad1–2
- Guayaquil City FC vs Leones del Norte1–1