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South America · 2026/27 season

Ecuador football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Ecuador — 1 competition, 16 clubs, 86 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Ecuador
Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 271 of 312 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 41 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Ecuador

3 fixtures on 31 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Ecuador with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Delfin SC vs Deportivo CuencaLiga ProC Liga Pro Delfin SCOur prob 41%Best odds 2.25 -2% 41% 43% C 2.25
Emelec vs Leones del NorteLiga ProC Liga Pro EmelecOur prob 44%Best odds 2.25 -1% 44% 44% C 2.25
Macara vs Barcelona SCLiga ProC Liga Pro MacaraOur prob 47%Best odds 1.97 -1% 47% 49% C 1.97

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Ecuador — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Ecuador’s covered competitions: 271 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 47% 128 of 271 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (311)
Away wins 28% 77 of 271 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (311)
Over 2.5 goals 42% 113 of 271 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (311)
Both teams scored 48% 129 of 271 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (311)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (311 played matches).

Competitions in Ecuador

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Ecuador by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#2
Net rating
+0.42
Attack
1.45
Defence
1.04
Form NextBarcelona SC (H) · 31 Oct
Net rating
+0.32
Attack
1.36
Defence
1.04
Form NextMacara (A) · 31 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Ecuador

What happened next to what we predicted