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Europe · 2026/27 season

Estonia football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Estonia — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 68 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Estonia
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 166 of 180 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 14 in our publication window

Today’s matches in Estonia

2 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Estonia with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
FC Levadia Tallinn vs TammekaMeistriliigaC Meistriliiga FC Levadia TallinnOur prob 78%Best odds 1.21 +1% 78% 77% C 1.21
Trans Narva vs Nõmme UnitedMeistriliigaC Meistriliiga Nõmme UnitedOur prob 49%Best odds 1.77 -2% 49% 52% C 1.77

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Estonia — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Estonia’s covered competitions: 166 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 49% 81 of 166 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 39% 65 of 166 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 64% 107 of 166 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 57% 95 of 166 matches +3 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Competitions in Estonia

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Estonia by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#2
Net rating
+0.41
Attack
1.53
Defence
1.11
Form NextKalju Nomme (H) · 28 Oct
#3
Net rating
+0.41
Attack
1.58
Defence
1.18
Form NextTammeka (A) · 31 Oct
Net rating
+0.02
Attack
1.59
Defence
1.57
Form NextPaide (A) · 28 Oct
Net rating
-0.29
Attack
1.11
Defence
1.40
Form NextVaprus (A) · 28 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Estonia

What happened next to what we predicted