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Europe · 2026/27 season

Finland football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Finland — 1 competition, 12 clubs, 44 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Finland
Teams 12 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 150 of 177 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 27 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Finland

1 fixture on 7 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Finland with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Gnistan vs Inter TurkuVeikkausliigaC Veikkausliiga Inter TurkuOur prob 46%Best odds 1.82 -24% 28% 52% C 1.82

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Finland — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Finland’s covered competitions: 150 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 45% 68 of 150 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Away wins 27% 41 of 150 matches -10 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Over 2.5 goals 45% 67 of 150 matches -22 pts vs 2025/26 (179)
Both teams scored 49% 74 of 150 matches -15 pts vs 2025/26 (179)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (179 played matches).

Competitions in Finland

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Finland by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#1
Net rating
+0.56
Attack
1.58
Defence
1.02
Form NextMariehamn (A) · 10 Oct
#2
Net rating
+0.33
Attack
1.59
Defence
1.26
Form NextInter Turku (H) · 7 Oct
Net rating
+0.33
Attack
1.44
Defence
1.11
Form NextVPS (H) · 8 Oct
#4
Net rating
+0.18
Attack
1.23
Defence
1.06
Form NextSJK (A) · 9 Oct
Net rating
+0.12
Attack
1.17
Defence
1.04
Form NextGnistan (A) · 7 Oct
#6
Net rating
+0.08
Attack
1.16
Defence
1.08
Form NextAC Oulu (H) · 8 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Finland

What happened next to what we predicted

Veikkausliiga
  • VPS vs KuPS0–2
  • Turku PS vs Ilves0–3
  • AC Oulu vs Inter Turku0–1
  • Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki1–1
  • SJK vs Mariehamn2–1
  • Lahti vs FF Jaro1–1