Today’s matches in Germany
8 fixtures today — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV vs Eintracht FrankfurtDFB PokalA | DFB Pokal | Eintracht FrankfurtOur prob 52%Best odds 2.30 | +10% | 52% | 42% | A | 2.30 |
| Bochum vs Mainz 05DFB PokalB | DFB Pokal | Mainz 05Our prob 62%Best odds 1.73 | +6% | 62% | 56% | B | 1.73 |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs AugsburgDFB PokalB | DFB Pokal | AugsburgOur prob 76%Best odds 1.36 | +5% | 76% | 71% | B | 1.36 |
| Rot-Weiß Essen vs RasenBallsport LeipzigDFB PokalB | DFB Pokal | RasenBallsport LeipzigOur prob 74%Best odds 1.21 | -5% | 74% | 79% | B | 1.21 |
| Borussia M.Gladbach vs Karlsruher SCDFB PokalB | DFB Pokal | Borussia M.GladbachOur prob 56%Best odds 1.39 | -13% | 56% | 69% | B | 1.39 |
| Borussia Dortmund vs Werder BremenDFB PokalA | DFB Pokal | Borussia DortmundOur prob 57%Best odds 1.41 | -11% | 57% | 68% | A | 1.41 |
| FC Cologne vs Union BerlinDFB PokalA | DFB Pokal | FC CologneOur prob 43%Best odds 1.87 | -8% | 43% | 52% | A | 1.87 |
| SV Elversberg vs DarmstadtDFB PokalB | DFB Pokal | SV ElversbergOur prob 54%Best odds 1.44 | -12% | 54% | 66% | B | 1.44 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Germany — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Germany’s covered competitions: 286 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (1057 played matches).
Competitions in Germany
4 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Germany · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 81 of 306
- Upcoming
- 46
- Home wins
- 46%
- Over 2.5
- 56%
- BTTS
- 56%
-
Germany · league- Teams
- 20
- Played
- 110 of 380
- Upcoming
- 46
- Home wins
- 43%
- Over 2.5
- 65%
- BTTS
- 63%
-
Germany · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 63 of 324
- Upcoming
- 14
- Home wins
- 51%
- Over 2.5
- 71%
- BTTS
- 57%
-
Germany · cup- Teams
- 64
- Played
- 32 of 48
- Upcoming
- 46
- Home wins
- 6%
- Over 2.5
- 81%
- BTTS
- 50%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Germany by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +1.61
- Attack
- 2.94
- Defence
- 1.33
- Net rating
- +0.95
- Attack
- 2.07
- Defence
- 1.12
- Net rating
- +0.92
- Attack
- 2.25
- Defence
- 1.33
- Net rating
- +0.81
- Attack
- 2.15
- Defence
- 1.34
- Net rating
- +0.80
- Attack
- 1.96
- Defence
- 1.15
- Net rating
- +0.66
- Attack
- 2.43
- Defence
- 1.77
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Germany
What happened next to what we predicted