Next fixtures in Iceland
4 fixtures on 10 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valur Reykjavik vs FH hafnarfjordurÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | Valur ReykjavikOur prob 39%Best odds 2.20 | -12% | 31% | 42% | C | 2.20 |
| Stjarnan vs KA AkureyriÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | StjarnanOur prob 52%Best odds 1.83 | +2% | 53% | 51% | C | 1.83 |
| Thor Akureyri vs IBV VestmannaeyjarÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | IBV VestmannaeyjarOur prob 39%Best odds 2.37 | -5% | 35% | 40% | C | 2.37 |
| Fram Reykjavik vs KR ReykjavikÚrvalsdeildC | Úrvalsdeild | KR ReykjavikOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Iceland — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Iceland’s covered competitions: 144 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (162 played matches).
Competitions in Iceland
1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.
-
Iceland · league- Teams
- 12
- Played
- 144 of 162
- Upcoming
- 18
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.
Top teams in Iceland by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.70
- Attack
- 2.67
- Defence
- 1.97
- Net rating
- +0.56
- Attack
- 1.80
- Defence
- 1.24
- Net rating
- +0.33
- Attack
- 2.02
- Defence
- 1.69
- Net rating
- +0.22
- Attack
- 2.16
- Defence
- 1.94
- Net rating
- +0.05
- Attack
- 2.09
- Defence
- 2.04
- Net rating
- -0.12
- Attack
- 1.82
- Defence
- 1.95
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Iceland
What happened next to what we predicted
- IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur Reykjavik1–1
- Keflavik vs Fram Reykjavik2–2
- FH hafnarfjordur vs Stjarnan5–2
- IA Akranes vs Breidablik4–1
- KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri3–0
- KR Reykjavik vs Vikingur Reykjavik1–2