Next fixtures in Japan
10 fixtures on 7 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Model | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa vs Omiya ArdijaEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | UrawaOur prob 51%Best odds 1.91 | +11% | 60% | 48% | C | 1.91 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs IwakiEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Sanfrecce HiroshimaOur prob 75%Best odds 1.33 | +9% | 81% | 72% | C | 1.33 |
| Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima UnitedEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Cerezo OsakaOur prob 54%Best odds 1.62 | -13% | 45% | 57% | C | 1.62 |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FCEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Avispa FukuokaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.35 | +4% | 46% | 42% | C | 2.35 |
| Shimizu S-pulse vs V-varen NagasakiEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Shimizu S-pulseOur prob 45%Best odds 2.20 | +11% | 53% | 42% | C | 2.20 |
| FC Tokyo vs Shonan BellmareEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | FC TokyoOur prob 61%Best odds 1.62 | +4% | 64% | 60% | C | 1.62 |
| Kawasaki Frontale vs Tegevajaro MiyazakiEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Kawasaki FrontaleOur prob 64% | — | 64% | — | C | — |
| Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sangyo UniversityEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Yokohama F. MarinosOur prob 59% | — | 59% | — | C | — |
| Fagiano Okayama vs JEF United ChibaEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Fagiano OkayamaOur prob 59%Best odds 1.75 | +26% | 79% | 53% | C | 1.75 |
| Gainare Tottori vs Tokyo VerdyEmperor CupC | Emperor Cup | Tokyo VerdyOur prob 50%Best odds 1.75 | -57% | 7% | 64% | C | 1.75 |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Japan — country trends
How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across Japan’s covered competitions: 142 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (287 played matches).
Competitions in Japan
2 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.
-
Japan · cup- Teams
- 88
- Played
- 62 of 72
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 71%
- Over 2.5
- 71%
- BTTS
- 52%
-
Japan · league- Teams
- 20
- Played
- 80 of 380
- Upcoming
- 60
- Home wins
- 46%
- Over 2.5
- 54%
- BTTS
- 60%
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.
Top teams in Japan by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +2.01
- Attack
- 3.15
- Defence
- 1.14
- Net rating
- +1.33
- Attack
- 2.89
- Defence
- 1.56
- Net rating
- +1.33
- Attack
- 2.26
- Defence
- 0.92
- Net rating
- +0.86
- Attack
- 2.15
- Defence
- 1.29
- Net rating
- +0.81
- Attack
- 2.14
- Defence
- 1.32
- Net rating
- +0.75
- Attack
- 1.52
- Defence
- 0.78
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Japan
What happened next to what we predicted
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari4–0
- Vissel Kobe vs Sagan Tosu1–0
- Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu3–1
- Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis5–0
- Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC1–0
- Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City2–1