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Asia · latest season of each competition season

Japan football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Japan — 2 competitions, 88 clubs, 165 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 2 covered in Japan
Teams 88 in the latest season of each competition season
Matches played 192 of 460 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Japan

6 fixtures on 31 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

Fixtures in Japan with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Kyoto Sanga vs Shimizu S-pulseJ1 LeagueC J1 League Kyoto SangaOur prob 39%Best odds 2.70 +4% 39% 36% C 2.70
Mito Hollyhock vs Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 LeagueC J1 League Sanfrecce HiroshimaOur prob 70%Best odds 1.47 +5% 70% 65% C 1.47
Fagiano Okayama vs FC TokyoJ1 LeagueC J1 League FC TokyoOur prob 52%Best odds 2.09 +7% 52% 46% C 2.09
Kashima vs Cerezo OsakaJ1 LeagueC J1 League KashimaOur prob 55%Best odds 1.75 0% 55% 55% C 1.75
Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya GrampusJ1 LeagueC J1 League Vissel KobeOur prob 52%Best odds 1.87 0% 52% 51% C 1.87
Kashiwa Reysol vs UrawaJ1 LeagueC J1 League Kashiwa ReysolOur prob 47%Best odds 2.07 +1% 47% 46% C 2.07

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Japan — country trends

How matches actually ended in the latest season of each competition across Japan’s covered competitions: 192 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 55% 105 of 192 matches +6 pts vs latest season of each competition (287)
Away wins 28% 53 of 192 matches -1 pts vs latest season of each competition (287)
Over 2.5 goals 61% 118 of 192 matches +9 pts vs latest season of each competition (287)
Both teams scored 54% 103 of 192 matches -2 pts vs latest season of each competition (287)

Change is in percentage points against the latest season of each competition season (287 played matches).

Competitions in Japan

2 competitions covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window, with how their matches ended.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window. Home wins, Over 2.5 and BTTS are shares of each competition’s played matches in its latest season with results.

Top teams in Japan by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Reinmeer Aomori
Emperor Cup
#1
Net rating
+2.01
Attack
3.14
Defence
1.13
Form
Fukushima United
Emperor Cup
#3
Net rating
+1.33
Attack
2.88
Defence
1.54
Form
Azul Claro Numazu
Emperor Cup
#6
Net rating
+0.81
Attack
2.12
Defence
1.31
Form

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Japan

What happened next to what we predicted