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Asia · 2026/27 season

Kazakhstan football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Kazakhstan — 1 competition, 16 clubs, 52 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Kazakhstan
Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 206 of 240 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 34 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Kazakhstan

5 fixtures on 10 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Kazakhstan with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Irtysh vs Kyzyl-ZharKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League IrtyshOur prob 55% — 55% — C —
Yelimay Semey vs AktobeKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League Yelimay SemeyOur prob 45%Best odds 1.96 -11% 37% 48% C 1.96
Kairat Almaty vs ZhetysuKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League Kairat AlmatyOur prob 79%Best odds 1.13 -17% 67% 84% C 1.13
FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC AstanaKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League FC AstanaOur prob 43%Best odds 2.11 -3% 40% 44% C 2.11
Zhenys vs AtyrauKazakhstan Premier LeagueC Kazakhstan Premier League ZhenysOur prob 56%Best odds 1.68 +1% 57% 56% C 1.68

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Kazakhstan — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Kazakhstan’s covered competitions: 206 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 47% 97 of 206 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 25% 52 of 206 matches -5 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 48% 99 of 206 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 54% 111 of 206 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Competitions in Kazakhstan

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Kazakhstan by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.13
Attack
1.96
Defence
0.83
Form NextKaisar (A) · 11 Oct
Net rating
+0.23
Attack
1.77
Defence
1.54
Form NextUlytau (A) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Kazakhstan

What happened next to what we predicted

Kazakhstan Premier League
  • Aktobe vs Ulytau2–2
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Kaisar1–1
  • Altay vs Irtysh1–2
  • Zhetysu vs Kaspiy0–1
  • Okzhetpes vs Zhenys3–1
  • Atyrau vs Ordabasy0–3