Next fixtures in Kenya
7 fixtures on 28 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction
| Match | League | Pick | Edge | Ours | Market | Conf. | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bandari vs Posta Rangers FCKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Homeboyz vs GOR MahiaKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | HomeboyzOur prob 35% | — | 35% | — | C | — |
| KCB vs Mombasa EliteKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | KCBOur prob 39% | — | 39% | — | C | — |
| APS Bomet vs 3KKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | APS BometOur prob 44% | — | 44% | — | C | — |
| Mara Sugar vs AFC LeopardsKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 37% | — | 37% | — | C | — |
| Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi UnitedKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | Nairobi UnitedOur prob 42% | — | 42% | — | C | — |
| Shabana vs Migori YouthKenyan Premier LeagueC | Kenyan Premier League | DrawOur prob 43% | — | 43% | — | C | — |
Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.
Kenya — country trends
How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Kenya’s covered competitions: 25 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.
Season-on-season change appears once 30 matches have been played this season (25 so far) — a smaller sample is noise, not a trend.
Competitions in Kenya
1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.
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Kenya · league- Teams
- 18
- Played
- 25 of 306
- Upcoming
- 60
Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.
Top teams in Kenya by model rating
The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.
- Net rating
- +0.40
- Attack
- 1.02
- Defence
- 0.63
- Net rating
- +0.19
- Attack
- 1.15
- Defence
- 0.96
- Net rating
- +0.14
- Attack
- 1.25
- Defence
- 1.11
- Net rating
- +0.12
- Attack
- 0.92
- Defence
- 0.80
- Net rating
- +0.09
- Attack
- 1.02
- Defence
- 0.93
- Net rating
- +0.06
- Attack
- 0.97
- Defence
- 0.91
Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.
Recent results in Kenya
What happened next to what we predicted