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Europe · 2026/27 season

Latvia football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Latvia — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 52 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Latvia
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 170 of 180 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 10 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Latvia

5 fixtures on 1 November 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Latvia with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
FK Liepaja vs Super NovaVirsligaC Virsliga FK LiepajaOur prob 63% — 63% — C —
Auda vs FS JelgavaVirsligaC Virsliga AudaOur prob 69% — 69% — C —
BFC Daugavpils vs TukumsVirsligaC Virsliga BFC DaugavpilsOur prob 66% — 66% — C —
Rīgas FS vs GrobiņaVirsligaC Virsliga Rīgas FSOur prob 82% — 82% — C —
Ogre United vs RigaVirsligaC Virsliga RigaOur prob 58% — 58% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Latvia — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Latvia’s covered competitions: 170 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 72 of 170 matches -3 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 35% 60 of 170 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 55% 93 of 170 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 54% 92 of 170 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Competitions in Latvia

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Latvia by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+1.25
Attack
2.20
Defence
0.96
Form NextGrobiņa (H) · 1 Nov
#2
Net rating
+0.65
Attack
1.84
Defence
1.19
Form NextOgre United (A) · 1 Nov
#3
Net rating
+0.56
Attack
1.72
Defence
1.16
Form NextFS Jelgava (H) · 1 Nov
Net rating
-0.55
Attack
1.05
Defence
1.60
Form NextAuda (A) · 1 Nov

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Latvia

What happened next to what we predicted