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Europe · 2026/27 season

Latvia football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Latvia — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 37 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Latvia
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 154 of 180 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 26 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Latvia

2 fixtures on 10 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Latvia with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
Tukums vs RigaVirsligaC Virsliga RigaOur prob 59% — 59% — C —
Super Nova vs GrobiņaVirsligaC Virsliga Super NovaOur prob 41%Best odds 2.37 +8% 47% 39% C 2.37

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Latvia — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Latvia’s covered competitions: 154 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 42% 64 of 154 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 34% 53 of 154 matches +4 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 53% 81 of 154 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 54% 83 of 154 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Competitions in Latvia

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Latvia by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

#2
Net rating
+0.58
Attack
1.76
Defence
1.18
Form NextTukums (A) · 10 Oct
#3
Net rating
+0.37
Attack
1.37
Defence
1.01
Form NextFK Liepaja (A) · 12 Oct
Net rating
+0.14
Attack
1.36
Defence
1.22
Form NextAuda (H) · 12 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Latvia

What happened next to what we predicted

Virsliga
  • Auda vs Rīgas FS1–1
  • Tukums vs Grobiņa1–1
  • Ogre United vs Super Nova1–0
  • FS Jelgava vs Riga0–1
  • FK Liepaja vs BFC Daugavpils0–0
  • Auda vs Ogre United1–0