Updated

Flag of Lithuania

Europe · 2026/27 season

Lithuania football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Lithuania — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 40 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Lithuania
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 152 of 180 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 10 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Lithuania

3 fixtures on 31 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Lithuania with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST VilniusA LygaC A Lyga TransINVEST VilniusOur prob 37% — 37% — C —
Šiauliai vs Džiugas TelšiaiA LygaC A Lyga Džiugas TelšiaiOur prob 42% — 42% — C —
Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno ŽalgirisA LygaC A Lyga Kauno ŽalgirisOur prob 50% — 50% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Lithuania — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Lithuania’s covered competitions: 152 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 41% 62 of 152 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 31% 47 of 152 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 53% 80 of 152 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 47% 72 of 152 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Competitions in Lithuania

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Lithuania by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Lithuania

What happened next to what we predicted