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Europe · 2026/27 season

Lithuania football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Lithuania — 1 competition, 10 clubs, 28 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Lithuania
Teams 10 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 143 of 180 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 21 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Lithuania

1 fixture on 10 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Lithuania with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva MarijampoleA LygaC A Lyga FK Zalgiris VilniusOur prob 38%Best odds 2.18 -16% 26% 42% C 2.18

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Lithuania — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Lithuania’s covered competitions: 143 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 40% 57 of 143 matches -1 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Away wins 32% 46 of 143 matches -2 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Over 2.5 goals 52% 75 of 143 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (182)
Both teams scored 48% 68 of 143 matches -4 pts vs 2025/26 (182)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (182 played matches).

Competitions in Lithuania

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Lithuania by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.67
Attack
1.73
Defence
1.05
Form NextSuduva Marijampole (A) · 19 Oct
Net rating
+0.49
Attack
1.64
Defence
1.15
Form NextDžiugas Telšiai (A) · 17 Oct
Net rating
+0.20
Attack
1.30
Defence
1.11
Form NextBanga (H) · 17 Oct
#5
Net rating
-0.00
Attack
1.28
Defence
1.28
Form NextPanevėžys (A) · 17 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Lithuania

What happened next to what we predicted

A Lyga
  • Šiauliai vs Kauno Žalgiris0–2
  • Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole1–1
  • TransINVEST Vilnius vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius3–0
  • Banga vs Džiugas Telšiai2–0
  • FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Kauno Žalgiris3–2
  • Banga vs TransINVEST Vilnius1–3