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Europe · 2026/27 season

Luxembourg football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Luxembourg — 1 competition, 16 clubs, 70 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Luxembourg
Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 88 of 240 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Luxembourg

8 fixtures on 31 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Luxembourg with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeOursMarketConf.Best odds
F91 Dudelange vs Victoria RosportNational DivisionC National Division F91 DudelangeOur prob 52% — 52% — C —
AS Jeunesse Esch vs FC Differdange 03National DivisionC National Division FC Differdange 03Our prob 65% — 65% — C —
Progres Niederkorn vs Swift HesperangeNational DivisionC National Division Progres NiederkornOur prob 84% — 84% — C —
US Rumelange vs Racing FC Union LuxembourgNational DivisionC National Division Racing FC Union LuxembourgOur prob 81% — 81% — C —
UNA Strassen vs UN Kaerjeng 97National DivisionC National Division UNA StrassenOur prob 55% — 55% — C —
US Mondorf-les-bains vs US HostertNational DivisionC National Division US Mondorf-les-bainsOur prob 51% — 51% — C —
Atert Bissen vs Etzella EttelbruckNational DivisionC National Division Atert BissenOur prob 68% — 68% — C —
Résidence Walferdange vs WiltzNational DivisionC National Division Résidence WalferdangeOur prob 57% — 57% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick (the Ours column) — our model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; Market = that de-vigged market probability. Edge = Ours minus Market; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Luxembourg — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Luxembourg’s covered competitions: 88 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 45% 40 of 88 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (242)
Away wins 43% 38 of 88 matches +5 pts vs 2025/26 (242)
Over 2.5 goals 69% 61 of 88 matches +16 pts vs 2025/26 (242)
Both teams scored 52% 46 of 88 matches +2 pts vs 2025/26 (242)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (242 played matches).

Competitions in Luxembourg

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Luxembourg by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Luxembourg

What happened next to what we predicted