Flag of Luxembourg

Europe · 2026/27 season

Luxembourg football predictions

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover in Luxembourg — 1 competition, 16 clubs, 56 fixtures predicted so far this season. Built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

Competitions 1 covered in Luxembourg
Teams 16 in the 2026/27 season
Matches played 64 of 240 scheduled this season
Upcoming fixtures 60 in our publication window

Next fixtures in Luxembourg

8 fixtures on 11 October 2026 — every row opens the full prediction

All fixtures
Fixtures in Luxembourg with our pick, edge and best market odds
MatchLeaguePickEdgeModelMarketConf.Best odds
FC Differdange 03 vs Résidence WalferdangeNational DivisionC National Division FC Differdange 03Our prob 49% — 49% — C —
Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Atert BissenNational DivisionC National Division Racing FC Union LuxembourgOur prob 53% — 53% — C —
US Rumelange vs US Mondorf-les-bainsNational DivisionC National Division US Mondorf-les-bainsOur prob 70% — 70% — C —
UN Kaerjeng 97 vs AS Jeunesse EschNational DivisionC National Division UN Kaerjeng 97Our prob 60% — 60% — C —
US Hostert vs Progres NiederkornNational DivisionC National Division Progres NiederkornOur prob 38% — 38% — C —
Etzella Ettelbruck vs F91 DudelangeNational DivisionC National Division Etzella EttelbruckOur prob 37% — 37% — C —
Wiltz vs UNA StrassenNational DivisionC National Division UNA StrassenOur prob 73% — 73% — C —
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria RosportNational DivisionC National Division Victoria RosportOur prob 62% — 62% — C —

Our prob = the probability we publish for that pick — the model blended with the de-vigged market price where one is recorded; the Model and Market columns are the two inputs behind it. Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability; grade A/B = the pick is backed by both/one team's xG record. Best odds = the top bookmaker price on our pick, taking each book at its own last update.

Luxembourg — country trends

How matches actually ended in the 2026/27 across Luxembourg’s covered competitions: 64 played matches. A record of results, not a forecast.

Home wins 47% 30 of 64 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (242)
Away wins 44% 28 of 64 matches +6 pts vs 2025/26 (242)
Over 2.5 goals 67% 43 of 64 matches +14 pts vs 2025/26 (242)
Both teams scored 50% 32 of 64 matches 0 pts vs 2025/26 (242)

Change is in percentage points against the 2025/26 season (242 played matches).

Competitions in Luxembourg

1 competition covered — squad size, matches played this season and fixtures inside our publication window.

All competitions

Played / scheduled count this season’s matches; Upcoming counts the fixtures currently inside our publication window.

Top teams in Luxembourg by model rating

The attack and defence rates our model feeds into every prediction, as of the last update. Net = attack − defence, in goals per match.

Net rating
+0.94
Attack
1.68
Defence
0.74
Form NextWiltz (A) · 11 Oct

Rates are decay-weighted over each team’s last 15 completed matches — xG where the window is xG-backed, goals otherwise — and shrunk towards the league average; a higher attack and a lower defence rate are better. Form: last five results, newest first.

Recent results in Luxembourg

What happened next to what we predicted

National Division
  • F91 Dudelange vs UN Kaerjeng 972–4
  • Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0–0
  • FC Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange3–0
  • AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Hostert1–1
  • UNA Strassen vs US Rumelange2–0
  • Victoria Rosport vs Etzella Ettelbruck1–1